EVR

Evercore Inc.

62
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

EVR offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has a slight edge over EVR overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

EVR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

EVR's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like EVR.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

EVR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$152-49%
Fair15x$282-4.4%
Forward15x$295—
Current16x$295—
Expensive29x$526+78%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EVR's PE is in its fair range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over EVR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EVR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for EVR, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

EVR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$421.54
Downside-14%$254.33

Calculated from the latest close: $295.34 on Nov 12.

EVR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS trails EVR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EVR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.37Q1 2024: $6.40Q2 2024: $7.26Q3 2024: $7.82Q4 2024: $9.08Q1 2025: $10.47Q2 2025: $11.02Q3 2025: $12.57Q4 2025: $14.05Q1 2026: $17.77Q2 2026: $17.73Q3 2026: $18.25Forward: $20.11
Q4 2023: $6.37Q1 2024: $6.40Q2 2024: $7.26Q3 2024: $7.82Q4 2024: $9.08Q1 2025: $10.47Q2 2025: $11.02Q3 2025: $12.57Q4 2025: $14.05Q1 2026: $17.77Q2 2026: $17.73Q3 2026: $18.25Forward: $20.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.11+10%
Q3 2026$18.25+45%
Q2 2026$17.73+61%
Q1 2026$17.77+70%
Q4 2025$14.05+55%
Q3 2025$12.57+61%
Q2 2025$11.02+52%
Q1 2025$10.47+64%
Q4 2024$9.08+43%

EVR has the edge over MS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

EVR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $784MQ1 2024: $581MQ2 2024: $689MQ3 2024: $734MQ4 2024: $975MQ1 2025: $695MQ2 2025: $834MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $990MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $784MQ1 2024: $581MQ2 2024: $689MQ3 2024: $734MQ4 2024: $975MQ1 2025: $695MQ2 2025: $834MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $990MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+12%
Q2 2026$990.2M+19%
Q1 2026$1.4B+100%
Q4 2025$1.3B+32%
Q3 2025$1B+41%
Q2 2025$833.8M+21%
Q1 2025$694.8M+20%
Q4 2024$975.3M+24%

EVR has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

EVR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: −$282MQ2 2024: $341MQ3 2024: $227MQ4 2024: $673MQ1 2025: −$569MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $541MQ4 2025: $799MQ1 2026: −$229MQ2 2026: $515MQ3 2026: $641M
Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: −$282MQ2 2024: $341MQ3 2024: $227MQ4 2024: $673MQ1 2025: −$569MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $541MQ4 2025: $799MQ1 2026: −$229MQ2 2026: $515MQ3 2026: $641M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$640.8M+18%
Q2 2026$514.8M+25%
Q1 2026-$229M+$340.3M
Q4 2025$798.6M+19%
Q3 2025$541.5M+139%
Q2 2025$411.7M+21%
Q1 2025-$569.3M-$287M
Q4 2024$673.1M+63%

EVR has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

EVR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-212K shares
1 year-3.5%-1.5M shares
3 years+2.3%+922K shares
5 years-4.2%-1.8M shares
Available history-5.3%-2.3M shares

EVR has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

EVR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash

EVR has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

EVR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.6Neutral
Stochastic54.7Neutral

EVR's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

EVR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricEVRSector medianRelative
PE16x13x24% above
PE %536310 pts below

EVR is trading at 16x earnings, a 24% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over EVR on valuation relative to its sector.

EVR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$271.68.7% above
20 week MA$294.50.3% above
50 week MA$318.77.3% below
100 week MA$294.70.2% above
200 week MA$235.825% above

EVR has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

EVR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$75.4$110.5+47%
2021$110.5$135.7+23%
2022$135.7$109.6-19%
2023$109.6$171.1+56%
2024$171.1$278.0+63%
2025$278.0$352.2+27%
2026 YTD$352.2$295.3-16%

EVR has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over EVR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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