EVO

Evotec SE

30
Fundamentals23/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

EVO offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has the edge over EVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

EVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Under pressure

EVO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

EVO PE Valuation

EVO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

EVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect EVO's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$2.58
Downside-36%$1.07

Calculated from the latest close: $1.66 on Nov 12.

EVO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails EVO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.30Q4 2023: $-0.26Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.54Q4 2024: $-0.61Q1 2025: $-0.64Q2 2025: $-0.48Q3 2025: $-0.49Q4 2025: $-0.32Q1 2026: $-0.61Q2 2026: $-0.62
Q3 2023: $-0.30Q4 2023: $-0.26Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.54Q4 2024: $-0.61Q1 2025: $-0.64Q2 2025: $-0.48Q3 2025: $-0.49Q4 2025: $-0.32Q1 2026: $-0.61Q2 2026: $-0.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.62-$0.14
Q1 2026-$0.61+$0.03
Q4 2025-$0.32+$0.29
Q3 2025-$0.49+$0.05
Q2 2025-$0.48+$0.06
Q1 2025-$0.64-$0.35
Q4 2024-$0.61-$0.35
Q3 2024-$0.54-$0.24

EVO lost $0.62 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over EVO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

EVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $218MQ4 2023: $224MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $202MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $246MQ1 2025: $222MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $182MQ4 2025: $279MQ1 2026: $177MQ2 2026: $162M
Q3 2023: $218MQ4 2023: $224MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $202MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $246MQ1 2025: $222MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $182MQ4 2025: $279MQ1 2026: $177MQ2 2026: $162M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$162M-15%
Q1 2026$176.9M-20%
Q4 2025$278.7M+13%
Q3 2025$182.1M-11%
Q2 2025$190.2M-6%
Q1 2025$222.2M-4.2%
Q4 2024$245.8M+9.9%
Q3 2024$205.4M-5.8%

EVO's revenue is shrinking: $162M last quarter, down 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over EVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$28MQ4 2023: −$48MQ1 2024: −$105MQ2 2024: −$110MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $55MQ1 2025: −$60MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: −$99MQ4 2025: $52MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$133M
Q3 2023: −$28MQ4 2023: −$48MQ1 2024: −$105MQ2 2024: −$110MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $55MQ1 2025: −$60MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: −$99MQ4 2025: $52MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$133M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$132.8M-4534%
Q1 2026-$7.1M+$52.5M
Q4 2025$51.7M-5.2%
Q3 2025-$98.8M-724%
Q2 2025$3M+$112.7M
Q1 2025-$59.6M+$45.8M
Q4 2024$54.6M+$102.8M
Q3 2024$15.8M+$43.8M

EVO's free cash flow was −$187M over the past year, against $14M the year before.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over EVO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

EVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 354MQ4 2023: 354MQ1 2024: 355MQ2 2024: 355MQ3 2024: 355MQ4 2024: 355MQ1 2025: 355MQ2 2025: 355MQ3 2025: 355MQ4 2025: 355MQ1 2026: 355MQ2 2026: 356M
Q3 2023: 354MQ4 2023: 354MQ1 2024: 355MQ2 2024: 355MQ3 2024: 355MQ4 2024: 355MQ1 2025: 355MQ2 2025: 355MQ3 2025: 355MQ4 2025: 355MQ1 2026: 355MQ2 2026: 356M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+403K shares
1 year+0.1%+334K shares
3 years+0.5%+1.7M shares
5 years+8.2%+26.9M shares
Available history+19%+56M shares

EVO has 356M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over EVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.6xQ4 2023: 8.8xQ1 2024: 36.0xQ2 2024: 89.3xQ4 2025: 3.4x
Q3 2023: 2.6xQ4 2023: 8.8xQ1 2024: 36.0xQ2 2024: 89.3xQ4 2025: 3.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q2 202489.3xHigh
Q1 202436.0xHigh
Q4 20238.8xHigh
Q3 20232.6xModerate
Q2 2023156.6xHigh
Q2 2022-2.7xNet Cash
Q1 2022-0.9xNet Cash

EVO's net debt is about 3.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

EVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic34.1Neutral

EVO's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

EVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricEVOSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

EVO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

EVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.566.4% above
20 week MA$1.8510% below
50 week MA$2.5735% below
100 week MA$3.2549% below
200 week MA$5.6070% below

EVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 70% below its 200-week average.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

EVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.9$17.4+35%
2021$17.4$22.6+30%
2022$22.6$8.06-64%
2023$8.06$11.7+46%
2024$11.7$4.54-61%
2025$4.54$3.11-31%
2026 YTD$3.11$1.66-47%

EVO has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 47% so far in 2026.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has the edge over EVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key