EVO

Evotec SE

30
Fundamentals23/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

EVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over EVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

EVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Under pressure

EVO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EVO PE Valuation

EVO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

EVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect EVO's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over EVO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

EVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$2.58
Downside-36%$1.07

Calculated from the latest close: $1.66 on Nov 12.

EVO trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.30Q4 2023: $-0.26Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.54Q4 2024: $-0.61Q1 2025: $-0.64Q2 2025: $-0.48Q3 2025: $-0.49Q4 2025: $-0.32Q1 2026: $-0.61Q2 2026: $-0.62
Q3 2023: $-0.30Q4 2023: $-0.26Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.54Q4 2024: $-0.61Q1 2025: $-0.64Q2 2025: $-0.48Q3 2025: $-0.49Q4 2025: $-0.32Q1 2026: $-0.61Q2 2026: $-0.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.62-$0.14
Q1 2026-$0.61+$0.03
Q4 2025-$0.32+$0.29
Q3 2025-$0.49+$0.05
Q2 2025-$0.48+$0.06
Q1 2025-$0.64-$0.35
Q4 2024-$0.61-$0.35
Q3 2024-$0.54-$0.24

EVO lost $0.62 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over EVO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

EVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $218MQ4 2023: $224MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $202MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $246MQ1 2025: $222MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $182MQ4 2025: $279MQ1 2026: $177MQ2 2026: $162M
Q3 2023: $218MQ4 2023: $224MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $202MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $246MQ1 2025: $222MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $182MQ4 2025: $279MQ1 2026: $177MQ2 2026: $162M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$162M-15%
Q1 2026$176.9M-20%
Q4 2025$278.7M+13%
Q3 2025$182.1M-11%
Q2 2025$190.2M-6%
Q1 2025$222.2M-4.2%
Q4 2024$245.8M+9.9%
Q3 2024$205.4M-5.8%

EVO's revenue is shrinking: $162M last quarter, down 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over EVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$28MQ4 2023: −$48MQ1 2024: −$105MQ2 2024: −$110MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $55MQ1 2025: −$60MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: −$99MQ4 2025: $52MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$133M
Q3 2023: −$28MQ4 2023: −$48MQ1 2024: −$105MQ2 2024: −$110MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $55MQ1 2025: −$60MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: −$99MQ4 2025: $52MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$133M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$132.8M-4534%
Q1 2026-$7.1M+$52.5M
Q4 2025$51.7M-5.2%
Q3 2025-$98.8M-724%
Q2 2025$3M+$112.7M
Q1 2025-$59.6M+$45.8M
Q4 2024$54.6M+$102.8M
Q3 2024$15.8M+$43.8M

EVO's free cash flow was −$187M over the past year, against $14M the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over EVO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

EVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 354MQ4 2023: 354MQ1 2024: 355MQ2 2024: 355MQ3 2024: 355MQ4 2024: 355MQ1 2025: 355MQ2 2025: 355MQ3 2025: 355MQ4 2025: 355MQ1 2026: 355MQ2 2026: 356M
Q3 2023: 354MQ4 2023: 354MQ1 2024: 355MQ2 2024: 355MQ3 2024: 355MQ4 2024: 355MQ1 2025: 355MQ2 2025: 355MQ3 2025: 355MQ4 2025: 355MQ1 2026: 355MQ2 2026: 356M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+403K shares
1 year+0.1%+334K shares
3 years+0.5%+1.7M shares
5 years+8.2%+26.9M shares
Available history+19%+56M shares

EVO has 356M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over EVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.6xQ4 2023: 8.8xQ1 2024: 36.0xQ2 2024: 89.3xQ4 2025: 3.4x
Q3 2023: 2.6xQ4 2023: 8.8xQ1 2024: 36.0xQ2 2024: 89.3xQ4 2025: 3.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q2 202489.3xHigh
Q1 202436.0xHigh
Q4 20238.8xHigh
Q3 20232.6xModerate
Q2 2023156.6xHigh
Q2 2022-2.7xNet Cash
Q1 2022-0.9xNet Cash

EVO's net debt is about 3.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

EVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic34.1Neutral

EVO's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

EVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricEVOSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

EVO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

EVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.566.4% above
20 week MA$1.8510% below
50 week MA$2.5735% below
100 week MA$3.2549% below
200 week MA$5.6070% below

EVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 70% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over EVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

EVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.9$17.4+35%
2021$17.4$22.6+30%
2022$22.6$8.06-64%
2023$8.06$11.7+46%
2024$11.7$4.54-61%
2025$4.54$3.11-31%
2026 YTD$3.11$1.66-47%

EVO has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 47% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over EVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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