EVLV

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.

59
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

EVLV has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EVLV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Strong
Unavailable

EVLV's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

EVLV PE Valuation

EVLV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EVLV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect EVLV's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EVLV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$5.92
Downside-29%$2.94

Calculated from the latest close: $4.16 on Nov 12.

EVLV trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EVLV, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EVLV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.71Q1 2024: $-0.59Q2 2024: $-0.12Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.35Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $-0.55Q3 2025: $-0.37Q4 2025: $-0.20Q1 2026: $-0.22Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.10
Q4 2023: $-0.71Q1 2024: $-0.59Q2 2024: $-0.12Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.35Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $-0.55Q3 2025: $-0.37Q4 2025: $-0.20Q1 2026: $-0.22Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.10+$0.27
Q2 2026-$0.02+$0.53
Q1 2026-$0.22+$0.06
Q4 2025-$0.20+$0.15
Q3 2025-$0.37-$0.03
Q2 2025-$0.55-$0.43
Q1 2025-$0.28+$0.31
Q4 2024-$0.35+$0.36

EVLV has the edge over RKLB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

EVLV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $47M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $47M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$47.3M+10%
Q2 2026$43.8M+34%
Q1 2026$46.3M+45%
Q4 2025$38.5M+32%
Q3 2025$42.9M+57%
Q2 2025$32.5M+27%
Q1 2025$32M+48%
Q4 2024$29.1M+33%

EVLV's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2021: $47M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over EVLV on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

EVLV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $18M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $18M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18M+410%
Q2 2026$11.9M+463%
Q1 2026-$3.2M-$640K
Q4 2025$15.6M+386%
Q3 2025$3.5M-9.8%
Q2 2025$2.1M+$24M
Q1 2025-$2.5M+$13.5M
Q4 2024$3.2M+$6.3M

EVLV has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

EVLV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 153MQ2 2024: 172MQ3 2024: 158MQ4 2024: 157MQ1 2025: 161MQ2 2025: 165MQ3 2025: 173MQ4 2025: 168MQ1 2026: 177MQ2 2026: 180MQ3 2026: 181M
Q4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 153MQ2 2024: 172MQ3 2024: 158MQ4 2024: 157MQ1 2025: 161MQ2 2025: 165MQ3 2025: 173MQ4 2025: 168MQ1 2026: 177MQ2 2026: 180MQ3 2026: 181M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+1.1M shares
1 year+4.8%+8.4M shares
3 years+4.1%+7.2M shares
5 years+26%+37M shares

EVLV has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

EVLV Net Leverage

EVLV's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

EVLV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.8Neutral
Stochastic20.9Neutral

EVLV's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

EVLV PE vs Industrials Sector

EVLV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EVLV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.517.8% below
20 week MA$5.1119% below
50 week MA$5.7327% below
100 week MA$5.6226% below
200 week MA$4.8614% below

EVLV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over EVLV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

EVLV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.78$10.1+3.1%
2021$10.1$5.04-50%
2022$5.04$2.20-56%
2023$2.20$4.72+115%
2024$4.72$3.97-16%
2025$3.97$6.66+68%
2026 YTD$6.66$4.16-38%

EVLV's yearly returns have swung widely, from +115% in 2023 to −56% in 2022. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over EVLV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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