EVH

Evolent Health, Inc.

52
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

EVH offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over EVH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

EVH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Stable
Weak

EVH's revenue is currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are weak.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EVH PE Valuation

EVH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

EVH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for EVH, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over EVH on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

EVH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$8.55
Downside-43%$2.71

Calculated from the latest close: $4.77 on Nov 12.

EVH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails EVH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EVH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.27Q1 2024: $-1.25Q2 2024: $-0.94Q3 2024: $-0.91Q4 2024: $-0.82Q1 2025: $-1.23Q2 2025: $-1.61Q3 2025: $-1.58Q4 2025: $-5.15Q1 2026: $-4.76Q2 2026: $-4.57Q3 2026: $-4.54Forward: $0.40
Q4 2023: $-1.27Q1 2024: $-1.25Q2 2024: $-0.94Q3 2024: $-0.91Q4 2024: $-0.82Q1 2025: $-1.23Q2 2025: $-1.61Q3 2025: $-1.58Q4 2025: $-5.15Q1 2026: $-4.76Q2 2026: $-4.57Q3 2026: $-4.54Forward: $0.40
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.40—
Q3 2026-$4.54-$2.96
Q2 2026-$4.57-$2.96
Q1 2026-$4.76-$3.53
Q4 2025-$5.15-$4.33
Q3 2025-$1.58-$0.67
Q2 2025-$1.61-$0.67
Q1 2025-$1.23+$0.02
Q4 2024-$0.82+$0.45

EVH is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $4.54 per share over the past year, against $6.11 at its worst in late 2020.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over EVH on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

EVH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $556MQ1 2024: $640MQ2 2024: $647MQ3 2024: $621MQ4 2024: $647MQ1 2025: $484MQ2 2025: $444MQ3 2025: $480MQ4 2025: $469MQ1 2026: $496MQ2 2026: $653MQ3 2026: $725M
Q4 2023: $556MQ1 2024: $640MQ2 2024: $647MQ3 2024: $621MQ4 2024: $647MQ1 2025: $484MQ2 2025: $444MQ3 2025: $480MQ4 2025: $469MQ1 2026: $496MQ2 2026: $653MQ3 2026: $725M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$725.4M+51%
Q2 2026$652.5M+47%
Q1 2026$496.2M+2.6%
Q4 2025$468.7M-28%
Q3 2025$479.5M-23%
Q2 2025$444.3M-31%
Q1 2025$483.6M-24%
Q4 2024$646.5M+16%

EVH's revenue is growing: $725M last quarter, up 51% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over EVH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EVH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $89MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: −$26MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: −$30MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: −$984,000Q2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: $89MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: −$26MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: −$30MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: −$984,000Q2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$26.4M+67%
Q2 2026-$9.3M+$21M
Q1 2026-$984K-122%
Q4 2025$48.8M+$75M
Q3 2025$15.8M-15%
Q2 2025-$30.3M-242%
Q1 2025$4.6M-7%
Q4 2024-$26.2M-129%

EVH's free cash flow has turned positive again: $65M over the past year, against −$36M the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over EVH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EVH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 111MQ1 2024: 114MQ2 2024: 115MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 115MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 116MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 114MQ1 2026: 112MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 113M
Q4 2023: 111MQ1 2024: 114MQ2 2024: 115MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 115MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 116MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 114MQ1 2026: 112MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 113M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+529K shares
1 year-0.9%-995K shares
3 years+0.7%+789K shares
5 years+32%+27.3M shares
Available history+37%+30.7M shares

EVH has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

EVH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.7xQ1 2024: 8.8xQ2 2024: 6.5xQ3 2024: 6.7xQ4 2024: 7.2xQ1 2025: 6.8xQ2 2025: 9.8xQ3 2025: 11.9x
Q4 2023: 7.7xQ1 2024: 8.8xQ2 2024: 6.5xQ3 2024: 6.7xQ4 2024: 7.2xQ1 2025: 6.8xQ2 2025: 9.8xQ3 2025: 11.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202511.9xHigh
Q2 20259.8xHigh
Q1 20256.8xHigh
Q4 20247.2xHigh
Q3 20246.7xHigh
Q2 20246.5xHigh
Q1 20248.8xHigh
Q4 20237.7xHigh

EVH's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.7 years a year ago.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has more cash than debt.

EVH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

EVH's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

EVH PE vs Healthcare Sector

EVH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

EVH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.2712% above
20 week MA$4.457.2% above
50 week MA$3.9222% above
100 week MA$6.5027% below
200 week MA$17.272% below

EVH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 72% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over EVH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

EVH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.85$16.3+84%
2021$16.3$27.0+66%
2022$27.0$27.3+1.3%
2023$27.3$33.0+21%
2024$33.0$11.1-66%
2025$11.1$4.12-63%
2026 YTD$4.12$4.77+16%

EVH has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 16% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over EVH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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