EVH
Evolent Health, Inc.
EVH has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
NVO
Novo Nordisk A/S
NVO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
EVH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
EVH's revenue is currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are weak.
NVO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
EVH PE Valuation
EVH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 10x | $40.65 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $53.56 | +32% |
| Fair | 27x | $103 | +154% |
| Expensive | 39x | $152 | +273% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
EVH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
EVH has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
NVO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
EVH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.40 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$4.54 | -$2.96 |
| Q2 2026 | -$4.57 | -$2.96 |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.76 | -$3.53 |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.15 | -$4.33 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.58 | -$0.67 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.61 | -$0.67 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.23 | +$0.02 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.82 | +$0.45 |
EVH is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $4.54 per share over the past year, against $6.11 at its worst in late 2020.
NVO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.89 | +4.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.07 | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.42 | +1.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.47 | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.71 | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.49 | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.36 | +21% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.15 | +27% |
NVO has the edge over EVH on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
EVH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $725.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | $652.5M | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $496.2M | +2.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $468.7M | -28% |
| Q3 2025 | $479.5M | -23% |
| Q2 2025 | $444.3M | -31% |
| Q1 2025 | $483.6M | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $646.5M | +16% |
EVH's revenue is growing: $725M last quarter, up 51% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8% | -1 points |
| Q2 2026 | -1.5% | -1.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2.1% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | -87% | -84 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0.2% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3% | -1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2.9% | +1 points |
EVH's operating margin was −0.8% last quarter, down 1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NVO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $11.7B | +2.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.4B | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.8B | -7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.1B | +5.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.4B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.6B | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.7B | +30% |
| Q3 2024 | $10.6B | +21% |
NVO has the edge over EVH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 34% | -9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 62% | +12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 40% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | -16 points |
| Q2 2025 | 44% | +5.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 50% | +1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 43% | +2.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 47% | +1.6 points |
NVO has the edge over EVH on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
EVH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26.4M | +67% |
| Q2 2026 | -$9.3M | +$21M |
| Q1 2026 | -$984K | -122% |
| Q4 2025 | $48.8M | +$75M |
| Q3 2025 | $15.8M | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | -$30.3M | -242% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.6M | -7% |
| Q4 2024 | -$26.2M | -129% |
EVH's free cash flow has turned positive again: $65M over the past year, against −$36M the year before.
NVO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $6.3B | +73% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.4B | -$4.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $4.6B | -2.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.6B | -34% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | +89% |
| Q4 2024 | -$632.6M | +$390.5M |
| Q3 2024 | $4.7B | +3.3% |
NVO has the edge over EVH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EVH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +529K shares |
| 1 year | -0.9% | -995K shares |
| 3 years | +0.7% | +789K shares |
| 5 years | +32% | +27.3M shares |
| Available history | +37% | +30.7M shares |
EVH has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
NVO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -12.9M shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -11M shares |
| 3 years | -1.5% | -66.8M shares |
| 5 years | -3.8% | -177M shares |
| Available history | -6.5% | -311M shares |
NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $520M |
| Q1 2026 | $356.7M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $206.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
| Q3 2024 | $357.4M |
NVO spent $877M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 48% from the year before.
EVH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 11.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 9.8x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 6.8x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.2x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 6.7x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 6.5x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 8.8x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 7.7x | High |
EVH's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.7 years a year ago.
NVO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
EVH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
EVH's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
NVO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.0 | Neutral |
NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
EVH PE vs Healthcare Sector
EVH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | NVO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 26x | 60% below |
| PE % | 6 | 29 | 23 pts below |
NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.
EVH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.27 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $4.45 | 7.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $3.92 | 22% above |
| 100 week MA | $6.50 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $17.2 | 72% below |
EVH has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NVO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $39.2 | 3.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $43.9 | 7.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $45.3 | 10% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.3 | 28% below |
| 200 week MA | $80.7 | 50% below |
NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.
EVH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $8.85 | $16.3 | +84% |
| 2021 | $16.3 | $27.0 | +66% |
| 2022 | $27.0 | $27.3 | +1.3% |
| 2023 | $27.3 | $33.0 | +21% |
| 2024 | $33.0 | $11.1 | -66% |
| 2025 | $11.1 | $4.12 | -63% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.12 | $4.77 | +16% |
EVH has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NVO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $29.1 | $34.7 | +19% |
| 2021 | $34.7 | $54.2 | +56% |
| 2022 | $54.2 | $67.0 | +24% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $103.5 | +54% |
| 2024 | $103.5 | $87.4 | -16% |
| 2025 | $87.4 | $52.4 | -40% |
| 2026 YTD | $52.4 | $40.7 | -22% |
NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.