ETSY
Etsy, Inc.
ETSY has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
ETSY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
ETSY's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ETSY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 10x | $88.29 | — |
| Forward | 19x | $88.29 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $233 | +164% |
| Fair | 40x | $343 | +288% |
| Expensive | 77x | $662 | +649% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ETSY's PE is in its cheap range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 19x.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ETSY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ETSY, with profitability improving.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ETSY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.58 | -46% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.55 | +511% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.87 | +53% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.48 | +80% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.39 | -41% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.40 | -29% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.22 | -43% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.38 | -37% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.35 | +4.9% |
ETSY has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
ETSY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $692.5M | +2.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $668.3M | -0.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $631.3M | -3.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $881.6M | +3.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $678M | +2.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $672.7M | +3.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $651.2M | +0.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $852.2M | +1.2% |
ETSY's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $692M last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | +3.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +7.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | +22 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -3.4% | -14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | +4.5 points |
ETSY has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over ETSY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
ETSY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $158.3M | -26% |
| Q2 2026 | $39.3M | -61% |
| Q1 2026 | $79.3M | +73% |
| Q4 2025 | $315.9M | +1.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $215M | +0.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $101.3M | -31% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.9M | -31% |
| Q4 2024 | $310.9M | +7.2% |
ETSY has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
ETSY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.3% | -2.7M shares |
| 1 year | -3.5% | -4.3M shares |
| 3 years | -17% | -23.8M shares |
| 5 years | -19% | -27.6M shares |
| Available history | -6.7% | -8.5M shares |
ETSY has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $394.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $249.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $145.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $133.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $119.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $334.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $189.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $259.6M |
ETSY spent $923M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 2.1% from the year before.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
ETSY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.0x | Elevated |
ETSY's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.4 years a year ago.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ETSY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 75.1 | Neutral |
ETSY's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
ETSY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ETSY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 18x | 43% below |
| PE % | 0 | 47 | 47 pts below |
ETSY is trading at 10x earnings, a 43% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ETSY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $82.2 | 7.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $80.7 | 9.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $67.5 | 31% above |
| 100 week MA | $61.5 | 44% above |
| 200 week MA | $68.7 | 29% above |
ETSY has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
ETSY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $45.0 | $190.3 | +323% |
| 2021 | $190.3 | $228.1 | +20% |
| 2022 | $228.1 | $126.9 | -44% |
| 2023 | $126.9 | $81.1 | -36% |
| 2024 | $81.1 | $52.7 | -35% |
| 2025 | $52.7 | $55.8 | +5.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $55.8 | $88.3 | +58% |
ETSY has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.