ETSY

Etsy, Inc.

84
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential90/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

ETSY has the edge over GME overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

GME

GameStop Corp.

49
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

GME trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

ETSY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

ETSY's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

GME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Unavailable

GME's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ETSY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE50x99x149x199x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE50x99x149x199x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$88.29—
Forward19x$88.29—
Cheap27x$233+164%
Fair40x$343+288%
Expensive77x$662+649%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ETSY has the edge over GME in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current17x$25.62—
Cheap18x$27.96+9.1%
Forward38x$25.62—
Fair43x$66.84+161%
Expensive252x$388+1414%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GME's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 38x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

ETSY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

ETSY has the edge over GME on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

GME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GME's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

ETSY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$187.20
Downside-13%$77.23

Calculated from the latest close: $88.29 on Nov 12.

ETSY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GME, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$31.72
Downside-51%$12.64

Calculated from the latest close: $25.62 on Nov 12.

GME trails ETSY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ETSY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.24Q1 2024: $2.19Q2 2024: $2.15Q3 2024: $1.96Q4 2024: $2.35Q1 2025: $1.38Q2 2025: $1.22Q3 2025: $1.40Q4 2025: $1.39Q1 2026: $2.48Q2 2026: $1.87Q3 2026: $8.55Forward: $4.58
Q4 2023: $2.24Q1 2024: $2.19Q2 2024: $2.15Q3 2024: $1.96Q4 2024: $2.35Q1 2025: $1.38Q2 2025: $1.22Q3 2025: $1.40Q4 2025: $1.39Q1 2026: $2.48Q2 2026: $1.87Q3 2026: $8.55Forward: $4.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.58-46%
Q3 2026$8.55+511%
Q2 2026$1.87+53%
Q1 2026$2.48+80%
Q4 2025$1.39-41%
Q3 2025$1.40-29%
Q2 2025$1.22-43%
Q1 2025$1.38-37%
Q4 2024$2.35+4.9%

ETSY's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $8.55 over the past year, up from $1.40 the year before.

GME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67-56%
Q3 2026$1.54+93%
Q2 2026$1.34+153%
Q1 2026$0.77+133%
Q4 2025$0.89+394%
Q3 2025$0.80+515%
Q2 2025$0.53+563%
Q1 2025$0.33+1550%
Q4 2024$0.18+$0.21

GME has the edge over ETSY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ETSY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $842MQ1 2024: $646MQ2 2024: $648MQ3 2024: $662MQ4 2024: $852MQ1 2025: $651MQ2 2025: $673MQ3 2025: $678MQ4 2025: $882MQ1 2026: $631MQ2 2026: $668MQ3 2026: $692M
Q4 2023: $842MQ1 2024: $646MQ2 2024: $648MQ3 2024: $662MQ4 2024: $852MQ1 2025: $651MQ2 2025: $673MQ3 2025: $678MQ4 2025: $882MQ1 2026: $631MQ2 2026: $668MQ3 2026: $692M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$692.5M+2.1%
Q2 2026$668.3M-0.6%
Q1 2026$631.3M-3.1%
Q4 2025$881.6M+3.5%
Q3 2025$678M+2.4%
Q2 2025$672.7M+3.8%
Q1 2025$651.2M+0.8%
Q4 2024$852.2M+1.2%

ETSY has the edge over GME on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$790.2M-19%
Q2 2026$835.3M+14%
Q1 2026$1.1B-14%
Q4 2025$821M-4.6%
Q3 2025$972.2M+22%
Q2 2025$732.4M-17%
Q1 2025$1.3B-28%
Q4 2024$860.3M-20%

GME's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $790M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

ETSY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $290MQ1 2024: $67MQ2 2024: $147MQ3 2024: $213MQ4 2024: $311MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $101MQ3 2025: $215MQ4 2025: $316MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $158M
Q4 2023: $290MQ1 2024: $67MQ2 2024: $147MQ3 2024: $213MQ4 2024: $311MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $101MQ3 2025: $215MQ4 2025: $316MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $158M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$158.3M-26%
Q2 2026$39.3M-61%
Q1 2026$79.3M+73%
Q4 2025$315.9M+1.6%
Q3 2025$215M+0.9%
Q2 2025$101.3M-31%
Q1 2025$45.9M-31%
Q4 2024$310.9M+7.2%

ETSY's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $593M over the past year, down 12% from the year before.

GME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$60.7M-46%
Q2 2026$332.9M+76%
Q1 2026$187.4M+18%
Q4 2025$107M+435%
Q3 2025$113.3M+73%
Q2 2025$189.6M+$304.3M
Q1 2025$158.8M+$177.5M
Q4 2024$20M+80%

GME has the edge over ETSY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ETSY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 140MQ1 2024: 135MQ2 2024: 133MQ3 2024: 131MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 122MQ3 2025: 125MQ1 2026: 121MQ2 2026: 120MQ3 2026: 117M
Q4 2023: 140MQ1 2024: 135MQ2 2024: 133MQ3 2024: 131MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 122MQ3 2025: 125MQ1 2026: 121MQ2 2026: 120MQ3 2026: 117M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.3%-2.7M shares
1 year-3.5%-4.3M shares
3 years-17%-23.8M shares
5 years-19%-27.6M shares
Available history-6.7%-8.5M shares

ETSY has the edge over GME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+300K shares
1 year+8.4%+46.1M shares
3 years+94%+288M shares
5 years+104%+302M shares
Available history+80%+264M shares

GME has 593M diluted shares, up 8.4% from a year ago.

ETSY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 4.1xQ2 2025: 4.5xQ3 2025: 4.4xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 4.1xQ2 2025: 4.5xQ3 2025: 4.4xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20263.6xElevated
Q4 20254.3xHigh
Q3 20254.4xHigh
Q2 20254.5xHigh
Q1 20254.1xHigh
Q4 20243.0xElevated

ETSY's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.4 years a year ago.

GME Net Leverage

ETSY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.2Neutral
Stochastic75.1Neutral

ETSY's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

GME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic68.5Neutral

GME's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

ETSY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricETSYSector medianRelative
PE10x18x43% below
PE %04747 pts below

ETSY has the edge over GME on valuation relative to its sector.

GME PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGMESector medianRelative
PE17x18x7.7% below
PE %154732 pts below

GME is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ETSY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$82.27.5% above
20 week MA$80.79.4% above
50 week MA$67.531% above
100 week MA$61.544% above
200 week MA$68.729% above

ETSY has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 29% above its 200-week average.

GME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.21.8% above
20 week MA$22.415% above
50 week MA$22.613% above
100 week MA$24.07% above
200 week MA$21.817% above

GME is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 200-week average.

ETSY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$45.0$190.3+323%
2021$190.3$228.1+20%
2022$228.1$126.9-44%
2023$126.9$81.1-36%
2024$81.1$52.7-35%
2025$52.7$55.8+5.8%
2026 YTD$55.8$88.3+58%

ETSY has the edge over GME on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.48$5.04+241%
2021$5.04$38.0+655%
2022$38.0$20.1-47%
2023$20.1$17.5-13%
2024$17.5$32.2+84%
2025$32.2$21.1-35%
2026 YTD$21.1$25.6+21%

GME's yearly returns have swung widely, from +655% in 2021 to −47% in 2022. It's up 21% so far in 2026.

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