ETOR
eToro Group Ltd.
ETOR offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over ETOR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
ETOR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
ETOR's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ETOR.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
ETOR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 8.3x | $22.46 | — |
| Forward | 10x | $22.46 | — |
| Cheap | 12x | $31.64 | +41% |
| Fair | 15x | $39.69 | +77% |
| Expensive | 17x | $45.36 | +102% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ETOR has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
ETOR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ETOR's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over ETOR on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
ETOR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.20 | -19% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.71 | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.44 | +6.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.30 | -1.7% |
ETOR earned $2.71 per share over the past year, up 22% from the year before.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over ETOR in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
ETOR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $239.5M | -89% |
| Q1 2026 | $268M | -93% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.9B | -34% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.1B | +164% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.1B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.8B | +11% |
ETOR's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $240M last quarter, down 89% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 27% | +25 points |
| Q1 2026 | 37% | +35 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2% | +0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.8% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7% | N/A |
| Q3 2024 | 3.2% | N/A |
ETOR's operating margin was 27% last quarter, up 25 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over ETOR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS has the edge over ETOR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ETOR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $37.3M | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $102.2M | +8.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $123.9M | +90% |
| Q3 2025 | $39.9M | -50% |
| Q2 2025 | $59.9M | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $94.2M | +92% |
ETOR has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
ETOR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.6% | -2.5M shares |
| 1 year | -5.5% | -5.3M shares |
ETOR has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $88M |
| Q1 2026 | $101.1M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $875,000 |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
ETOR spent $190M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
ETOR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -11.9x | Net Cash |
ETOR has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
ETOR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.6 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 5.7 | Oversold |
ETOR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
ETOR PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | ETOR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.3x | 13x | 36% below |
| PE % | 0 | 15 | 15 pts below |
ETOR has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
ETOR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $24.3 | 7.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $29.9 | 25% below |
| 50 week MA | $32.8 | 31% below |
MS has stronger trend alignment. ETOR is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus MS above 3 of 5.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
ETOR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $64.2 | $35.9 | -44% |
| 2026 YTD | $35.9 | $22.5 | -37% |
ETOR has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 37% so far in 2026.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over ETOR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.