ESS

Essex Property Trust, Inc.

41
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation22/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

ESS's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 51x earnings, above its usual 33x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

ESS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

ESS's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like ESS.

ESS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x43x57x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x43x57x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap25x$132-51%
Fair33x$178-34%
Forward44x$272—
Expensive46x$250-8.2%
Current51x$272—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ESS's PE is in its expensive range at 51x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 44x next year's earnings.

ESS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect ESS's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

ESS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$306.18
Downside-11%$242.33

Calculated from the latest close: $271.80 on Nov 12.

ESS's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +13% against −11%.

ESS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.32Q1 2024: $8.19Q2 2024: $8.09Q3 2024: $8.57Q4 2024: $11.54Q1 2025: $10.45Q2 2025: $12.44Q3 2025: $13.16Q4 2025: $10.40Q1 2026: $8.89Q2 2026: $6.42Q3 2026: $5.38Forward: $6.21
Q4 2023: $6.32Q1 2024: $8.19Q2 2024: $8.09Q3 2024: $8.57Q4 2024: $11.54Q1 2025: $10.45Q2 2025: $12.44Q3 2025: $13.16Q4 2025: $10.40Q1 2026: $8.89Q2 2026: $6.42Q3 2026: $5.38Forward: $6.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.21+15%
Q3 2026$5.38-59%
Q2 2026$6.42-48%
Q1 2026$8.89-15%
Q4 2025$10.40-9.9%
Q3 2025$13.16+54%
Q2 2025$12.44+54%
Q1 2025$10.45+28%
Q4 2024$11.54+83%

ESS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $5.38 over the past year, against $13.16 in late 2025.

ESS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $422MQ1 2024: $427MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $451MQ4 2024: $454MQ1 2025: $465MQ2 2025: $470MQ3 2025: $473MQ4 2025: $480MQ1 2026: $485MQ2 2026: $489MQ3 2026: $493M
Q4 2023: $422MQ1 2024: $427MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $451MQ4 2024: $454MQ1 2025: $465MQ2 2025: $470MQ3 2025: $473MQ4 2025: $480MQ1 2026: $485MQ2 2026: $489MQ3 2026: $493M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$492.7M+4.1%
Q2 2026$489M+4.1%
Q1 2026$484.8M+4.3%
Q4 2025$479.6M+5.5%
Q3 2025$473.3M+5%
Q2 2025$469.8M+6.2%
Q1 2025$464.6M+8.8%
Q4 2024$454.5M+7.8%

ESS's revenue has grown year over year for 20 quarters in a row: $493M last quarter, up 4.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

ESS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $204MQ1 2024: $315MQ2 2024: $219MQ3 2024: $316MQ4 2024: $218MQ1 2025: $282MQ2 2025: $216MQ3 2025: $343MQ4 2025: $234MQ1 2026: $287MQ2 2026: $254MQ3 2026: $333M
Q4 2023: $204MQ1 2024: $315MQ2 2024: $219MQ3 2024: $316MQ4 2024: $218MQ1 2025: $282MQ2 2025: $216MQ3 2025: $343MQ4 2025: $234MQ1 2026: $287MQ2 2026: $254MQ3 2026: $333M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$333.4M-2.7%
Q2 2026$254.1M+18%
Q1 2026$287.2M+2%
Q4 2025$234.2M+7.3%
Q3 2025$342.6M+8.3%
Q2 2025$216.1M-1.3%
Q1 2025$281.5M-11%
Q4 2024$218.3M+7.2%

ESS's free cash flow was $1.1B over the past year, up 4.7% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like ESS.

ESS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+33K shares
1 year-0.2%-106K shares
3 years+0.2%+126K shares
5 years-1.3%-836K shares
Available history-2.5%-1.6M shares

ESS has 64M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ESS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: 5.6xQ2 2024: 5.6xQ3 2024: 5.8xQ4 2024: 5.1xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 5.1xQ3 2026: 5.5x
Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: 5.6xQ2 2024: 5.6xQ3 2024: 5.8xQ4 2024: 5.1xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 5.1xQ3 2026: 5.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.5xHigh
Q2 20265.1xHigh
Q1 20264.8xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20253.9xElevated
Q2 20254.1xHigh
Q1 20254.7xHigh
Q4 20245.1xHigh

ESS's net debt is about 5.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.9 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like ESS.

ESS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.2Neutral
Stochastic28.7Neutral

ESS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

ESS PE vs Real Estate Sector

MetricESSSector medianRelative
PE51x24x111% above
PE %952372 pts above

ESS is trading at 51x earnings, a 111% premium to the Real Estate sector's median of 24x.

ESS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$271.00.3% above
20 week MA$280.02.9% below
50 week MA$268.01.4% above
100 week MA$272.50.3% below
200 week MA$259.94.6% above

ESS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 4.6% above its 200-week average.

ESS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$299.7$234.3-22%
2021$234.3$342.7+46%
2022$342.7$211.7-38%
2023$211.7$247.9+17%
2024$247.9$284.4+15%
2025$284.4$262.2-7.8%
2026 YTD$262.2$271.8+3.7%

ESS has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 3.7% so far in 2026.

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