ESE

ESCO Technologies Inc.

74
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

ESE offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has a slight edge over ESE overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ESE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ESE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ESE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x54x82x109x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x54x82x109x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current19x$235—
Cheap22x$268+14%
Forward25x$235—
Fair29x$357+52%
Expensive42x$511+117%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ESE's PE is in its cheap range at 19x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 25x.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over ESE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ESE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ESE, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over ESE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

ESE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$312.49
Downside-11%$209.21

Calculated from the latest close: $235.31 on Nov 12.

ESE trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ESE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ESE Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $3.58Q4 2023: $3.60Q1 2024: $3.81Q2 2024: $3.86Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $4.26Q1 2025: $4.56Q2 2025: $4.44Q3 2025: $11.55Q4 2025: $11.75Q1 2026: $11.89Q2 2026: $12.14Forward: $9.32
Q3 2023: $3.58Q4 2023: $3.60Q1 2024: $3.81Q2 2024: $3.86Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $4.26Q1 2025: $4.56Q2 2025: $4.44Q3 2025: $11.55Q4 2025: $11.75Q1 2026: $11.89Q2 2026: $12.14Forward: $9.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.32-23%
Q2 2026$12.14+173%
Q1 2026$11.89+161%
Q4 2025$11.75+176%
Q3 2025$11.55+193%
Q2 2025$4.44+15%
Q1 2025$4.56+20%
Q4 2024$4.26+18%
Q3 2024$3.94+10%

ESE has the edge over MSFT on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

ESE Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $273MQ4 2023: $218MQ1 2024: $249MQ2 2024: $261MQ3 2024: $299MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $266MQ2 2025: $296MQ3 2025: $353MQ4 2025: $290MQ1 2026: $309MQ2 2026: $339M
Q3 2023: $273MQ4 2023: $218MQ1 2024: $249MQ2 2024: $261MQ3 2024: $299MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $266MQ2 2025: $296MQ3 2025: $353MQ4 2025: $290MQ1 2026: $309MQ2 2026: $339M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$339M+14%
Q1 2026$309.3M+17%
Q4 2025$289.7M+17%
Q3 2025$352.7M+18%
Q2 2025$296.3M+14%
Q1 2025$265.5M+6.6%
Q4 2024$247M+13%
Q3 2024$298.5M+9.5%

ESE's revenue has grown year over year for 19 quarters in a row: $339M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over ESE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ESE Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $42MQ4 2023: $898,000Q1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $98MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: −$811,000Q2 2026: $47M
Q3 2023: $42MQ4 2023: $898,000Q1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $98MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: −$811,000Q2 2026: $47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$47.3M-27%
Q1 2026-$811K-106%
Q4 2025$63M+117%
Q3 2025$97.8M+61%
Q2 2025$64.9M+135%
Q1 2025$14M+585%
Q4 2024$29M+3126%
Q3 2024$60.9M+44%

ESE has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

ESE Total Shares

Q3 2023: 26MQ4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26M
Q3 2023: 26MQ4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+42K shares
1 year+0.2%+62K shares
3 years+0.6%+153K shares
5 years-0.9%-234K shares
Available history-0.4%-117K shares

ESE has 26M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over ESE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ESE Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.4xQ4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.0x
Q3 2023: 0.4xQ4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.0xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.3xVery low

ESE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ESE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.5Neutral
Stochastic9.4Oversold

ESE's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

ESE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricESESector medianRelative
PE19x28x30% below
PE %153520 pts below

ESE has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ESE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$248.25.2% below
20 week MA$279.816% below
50 week MA$273.014% below
100 week MA$226.14.1% above
200 week MA$166.741% above

ESE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 41% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over ESE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ESE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$91.7$101.4+11%
2021$101.4$86.7-15%
2022$86.7$88.0+1.5%
2023$88.0$117.0+33%
2024$117.0$134.6+15%
2025$134.6$200.5+49%
2026 YTD$200.5$235.3+17%

ESE has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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