ESE

ESCO Technologies Inc.

74
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

ESE has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

ESE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ESE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

ESE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x54x82x109x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x54x82x109x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current19x$235—
Cheap22x$268+14%
Forward25x$235—
Fair29x$357+52%
Expensive42x$511+117%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ESE's PE is in its cheap range at 19x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 25x.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ESE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ESE, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

INTC has the edge over ESE on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

ESE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$312.49
Downside-11%$209.21

Calculated from the latest close: $235.31 on Nov 12.

ESE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails ESE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ESE Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $3.58Q4 2023: $3.60Q1 2024: $3.81Q2 2024: $3.86Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $4.26Q1 2025: $4.56Q2 2025: $4.44Q3 2025: $11.55Q4 2025: $11.75Q1 2026: $11.89Q2 2026: $12.14Forward: $9.32
Q3 2023: $3.58Q4 2023: $3.60Q1 2024: $3.81Q2 2024: $3.86Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $4.26Q1 2025: $4.56Q2 2025: $4.44Q3 2025: $11.55Q4 2025: $11.75Q1 2026: $11.89Q2 2026: $12.14Forward: $9.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.32-23%
Q2 2026$12.14+173%
Q1 2026$11.89+161%
Q4 2025$11.75+176%
Q3 2025$11.55+193%
Q2 2025$4.44+15%
Q1 2025$4.56+20%
Q4 2024$4.26+18%
Q3 2024$3.94+10%

ESE has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ESE Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $273MQ4 2023: $218MQ1 2024: $249MQ2 2024: $261MQ3 2024: $299MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $266MQ2 2025: $296MQ3 2025: $353MQ4 2025: $290MQ1 2026: $309MQ2 2026: $339M
Q3 2023: $273MQ4 2023: $218MQ1 2024: $249MQ2 2024: $261MQ3 2024: $299MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $266MQ2 2025: $296MQ3 2025: $353MQ4 2025: $290MQ1 2026: $309MQ2 2026: $339M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$339M+14%
Q1 2026$309.3M+17%
Q4 2025$289.7M+17%
Q3 2025$352.7M+18%
Q2 2025$296.3M+14%
Q1 2025$265.5M+6.6%
Q4 2024$247M+13%
Q3 2024$298.5M+9.5%

ESE has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

ESE Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $42MQ4 2023: $898,000Q1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $98MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: −$811,000Q2 2026: $47M
Q3 2023: $42MQ4 2023: $898,000Q1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $98MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: −$811,000Q2 2026: $47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$47.3M-27%
Q1 2026-$811K-106%
Q4 2025$63M+117%
Q3 2025$97.8M+61%
Q2 2025$64.9M+135%
Q1 2025$14M+585%
Q4 2024$29M+3126%
Q3 2024$60.9M+44%

ESE generated $207M in free cash flow over the past year, up 23% from the year before.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over ESE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ESE Total Shares

Q3 2023: 26MQ4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26M
Q3 2023: 26MQ4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+42K shares
1 year+0.2%+62K shares
3 years+0.6%+153K shares
5 years-0.9%-234K shares
Available history-0.4%-117K shares

ESE has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

ESE Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.4xQ4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.0x
Q3 2023: 0.4xQ4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.0xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.3xVery low

ESE has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

ESE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.5Neutral
Stochastic9.4Oversold

ESE's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

ESE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricESESector medianRelative
PE19x28x30% below
PE %153520 pts below

ESE is trading at 19x earnings, a 30% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ESE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$248.25.2% below
20 week MA$279.816% below
50 week MA$273.014% below
100 week MA$226.14.1% above
200 week MA$166.741% above

ESE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 41% above its 200-week average.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

ESE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$91.7$101.4+11%
2021$101.4$86.7-15%
2022$86.7$88.0+1.5%
2023$88.0$117.0+33%
2024$117.0$134.6+15%
2025$134.6$200.5+49%
2026 YTD$200.5$235.3+17%

ESE has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 17% so far in 2026.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over ESE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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