ES

Eversource Energy

59
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

ES has the edge over SMR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SMR

NuScale Power Corporation

39
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SMR offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ES Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak

ES's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

SMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SMR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ES PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.9x18x27x36x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.9x18x27x36x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$71.15โ€”
Cheap18x$66.47-6.6%
Current19x$71.15โ€”
Fair23x$88.45+24%
Expensive28x$105+48%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ES's PE is in its cheap range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

SMR PE Valuation

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ES Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ES, but weaker profitability.

SMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

ES Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$80.57
Downside-13%$61.62

Calculated from the latest close: $71.15 on Nov 12.

ES trails SMR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$8.20
Downside-40%$2.88

Calculated from the latest close: $4.82 on Nov 12.

SMR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ES, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ES Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.26Q1 2024: $-1.18Q2 2024: $-0.27Q3 2024: $-1.57Q4 2024: $2.27Q1 2025: $2.28Q2 2025: $2.29Q3 2025: $3.61Q4 2025: $4.56Q1 2026: $4.67Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.78Forward: $4.89
Q4 2023: $-1.26Q1 2024: $-1.18Q2 2024: $-0.27Q3 2024: $-1.57Q4 2024: $2.27Q1 2025: $2.28Q2 2025: $2.29Q3 2025: $3.61Q4 2025: $4.56Q1 2026: $4.67Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.78Forward: $4.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.89+29%
Q3 2026$3.78+4.7%
Q2 2026$3.85+68%
Q1 2026$4.67+105%
Q4 2025$4.56+101%
Q3 2025$3.61+$5.18
Q2 2025$2.29+$2.56
Q1 2025$2.28+$3.46
Q4 2024$2.27+$3.53

ES has the edge over SMR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.72+$2.14
Q2 2026-$2.46-$1.27
Q1 2026-$2.46-$1.09
Q4 2025-$2.43-$0.96
Q3 2025-$2.86-$1.91
Q2 2025-$1.19-$0.16
Q1 2025-$1.37-$0.52
Q4 2024-$1.47-$0.67

SMR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $2.86 at its worst in late 2025.

ES Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ1 2026: $4.5BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $3B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ1 2026: $4.5BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3B-7.5%
Q2 2026$2.9B+2.3%
Q1 2026$4.5B+9.4%
Q4 2025$3.4B+13%
Q3 2025$3.2B+5.1%
Q2 2025$2.8B+12%
Q1 2025$4.1B+24%
Q4 2024$3B+10%

ES's revenue is growing: $3B last quarter, down 7.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$281K-97%
Q2 2026$75K-99%
Q1 2026$565K-96%
Q4 2025$1.8M-95%
Q3 2025$8.2M+1635%
Q2 2025$8.1M+733%
Q1 2025$13.4M+870%
Q4 2024$34.2M+651%

SMR's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $281,000 last quarter, down 97% from the same quarter a year ago.

ES Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$734MQ1 2024: โˆ’$858MQ2 2024: โˆ’$401MQ3 2024: โˆ’$515MQ4 2024: โˆ’$547MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: โˆ’$26MQ4 2025: โˆ’$67MQ1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: โˆ’$376M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$734MQ1 2024: โˆ’$858MQ2 2024: โˆ’$401MQ3 2024: โˆ’$515MQ4 2024: โˆ’$547MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: โˆ’$26MQ4 2025: โˆ’$67MQ1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: โˆ’$376M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$375.6M-$349.3M
Q2 2026$76.3M+399%
Q1 2026$315M+849%
Q4 2025-$67.3M+$479.3M
Q3 2025-$26.3M+$489M
Q2 2025$15.3M+$416.1M
Q1 2025$33.2M+$891.3M
Q4 2024-$546.5M+$187.7M

ES has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 96% versus its history, compared with SMR at down 161%.

SMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$58.6M-$25.3M
Q1 2026-$316.2M-$293.3M
Q4 2025-$204.1M-$177.6M
Q2 2025-$33.3M+$2.7M
Q1 2025-$22.9M+$10.6M
Q4 2024-$26.5M+$46.8M
Q3 2024-$12.7M+$15M
Q2 2024-$36M+$4.5M

SMR has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$608M over the past year, against โˆ’$95M the year before.

ES Total Shares

Q4 2023: 350MQ1 2024: 351MQ2 2024: 353MQ3 2024: 360MQ4 2024: 358MQ1 2025: 368MQ2 2025: 369MQ3 2025: 372MQ4 2025: 371MQ1 2026: 377MQ2 2026: 377MQ3 2026: 378M
Q4 2023: 350MQ1 2024: 351MQ2 2024: 353MQ3 2024: 360MQ4 2024: 358MQ1 2025: 368MQ2 2025: 369MQ3 2025: 372MQ4 2025: 371MQ1 2026: 377MQ2 2026: 377MQ3 2026: 378M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+660K shares
1 year+1.4%+5.4M shares
3 years+7.9%+27.8M shares
5 years+9.6%+33M shares
Available history+17%+54.7M shares

ES has the edge over SMR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+45.9M shares
1 year+178%+263M shares
3 years+448%+336M shares

SMR has 410M diluted shares, up 178% from a year ago.

ES Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.6xQ1 2024: 7.5xQ2 2024: 7.6xQ3 2024: 6.7xQ4 2024: 6.4xQ1 2025: 5.8xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 5.5xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.3xQ2 2026: 5.2xQ3 2026: 5.7x
Q4 2023: 7.6xQ1 2024: 7.5xQ2 2024: 7.6xQ3 2024: 6.7xQ4 2024: 6.4xQ1 2025: 5.8xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 5.5xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.3xQ2 2026: 5.2xQ3 2026: 5.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.7xHigh
Q2 20265.2xHigh
Q1 20265.3xHigh
Q4 20255.2xHigh
Q3 20255.5xHigh
Q2 20255.5xHigh
Q1 20255.8xHigh
Q4 20246.4xHigh

ES's net debt is about 5.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.5 years a year ago.

SMR Net Leverage

SMR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ES Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.1Neutral
Stochastic64.0Neutral

ES's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

SMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.5Oversold
Stochastic8.6Oversold

SMR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

ES PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricESSector medianRelative
PE19x20x7.8% below
PE %284416 pts below

ES is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Utilities sector's median of 20x.

SMR PE vs Utilities Sector

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ES Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$67.25.8% above
20 week MA$70.11.6% above
50 week MA$69.81.9% above
100 week MA$66.86.5% above
200 week MA$65.98% above

ES has the edge over SMR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2623% below
20 week MA$7.8839% below
50 week MA$11.458% below
100 week MA$20.276% below
200 week MA$14.467% below

SMR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

ES Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$84.3$84.2-0.2%
2021$84.2$89.4+6.3%
2022$89.4$84.2-5.8%
2023$84.2$61.7-27%
2024$61.7$57.3-7.1%
2025$57.3$67.2+17%
2026 YTD$67.2$71.2+5.8%

ES has the edge over SMR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.1$10.3+1.2%
2021$10.3$10.1-1.9%
2022$10.1$10.1+0.5%
2023$10.1$3.29-67%
2024$3.29$19.5+493%
2025$19.5$14.9-24%
2026 YTD$14.9$4.82-68%

SMR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +493% in 2024 to โˆ’67% in 2023. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

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