ERII

Energy Recovery, Inc.

22
Fundamentals29/ 100
Valuation8/ 100
Upside potential9/ 100
Risk potential83/ 100

ERII trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over ERII overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

ERII Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Stable
Strong
Strong

ERII's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue is weak.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ERII PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE46x92x137x183x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE46x92x137x183x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap33x$2.62-64%
Fair44x$3.49-51%
Expensive85x$6.82-4.8%
Current90x$7.17—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ERII's PE is in its expensive range at 90x.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ERII Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ERII's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over ERII on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

ERII Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+8%$7.73
Downside-83%$1.23

Calculated from the latest close: $7.17 on Nov 12.

ERII trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ERII, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ERII Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.36Q3 2024: $0.34Q4 2024: $0.40Q1 2025: $0.36Q2 2025: $0.41Q3 2025: $0.33Q4 2025: $0.42Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.27Q3 2026: $0.08
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.36Q3 2024: $0.34Q4 2024: $0.40Q1 2025: $0.36Q2 2025: $0.41Q3 2025: $0.33Q4 2025: $0.42Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.27Q3 2026: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.08-76%
Q2 2026$0.27-34%
Q1 2026$0.37+2.8%
Q4 2025$0.42+5%
Q3 2025$0.33-2.9%
Q2 2025$0.41+14%
Q1 2025$0.36+5.9%
Q4 2024$0.40+8.1%

ERII has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

ERII Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $28MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $28MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2M-65%
Q2 2026$12M-57%
Q1 2026$9.7M+20%
Q4 2025$66.9M-0.3%
Q3 2025$32M-17%
Q2 2025$28.1M+3.1%
Q1 2025$8.1M-33%
Q4 2024$67.1M+17%

ERII's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $11M last quarter, down 65% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over ERII on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ERII Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$10M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.7M-$6.2M
Q2 2026$15.4M+285%
Q1 2026$20.2M+93%
Q4 2025$6.4M-28%
Q3 2025-$3.5M-$301K
Q2 2025$4M-49%
Q1 2025$10.5M+85%
Q4 2024$8.9M-29%

ERII has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

ERII Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-430K shares
1 year-4.6%-2.4M shares
3 years-12%-6.9M shares
5 years-13%-7.7M shares
Available history-9%-5M shares

ERII has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

ERII Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -3.5xQ2 2024: -1.9xQ3 2024: -3.4xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -2.2xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -3.4xQ3 2026: -9.0x
Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -3.5xQ2 2024: -1.9xQ3 2024: -3.4xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -2.2xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -3.4xQ3 2026: -9.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-9.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash

ERII has more cash than debt.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ERII Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.8Neutral
Stochastic27.1Neutral

ERII's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

ERII PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricERIISector medianRelative
PE90x24x272% above
PE %875829 pts above

ERII is trading at 90x earnings, a 272% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ERII Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.884.2% above
20 week MA$7.666.4% below
50 week MA$10.129% below
100 week MA$12.342% below
200 week MA$15.855% below

ERII has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

ERII Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.97$13.7+37%
2021$13.7$21.1+55%
2022$21.1$21.0-0.7%
2023$21.0$18.8-10%
2024$18.8$14.9-21%
2025$14.9$13.9-6.6%
2026 YTD$13.9$7.17-48%

ERII has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 48% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over ERII on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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