ERIE

Erie Indemnity Company

55
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

ERIE's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew only 2%, but earnings per share fell 39%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

ERIE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

ERIE's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ERIE.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

ERIE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$270โ€”
Cheap27x$201-26%
Fair35x$266-1.4%
Current36x$270โ€”
Expensive43x$324+20%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ERIE's PE is 36x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ERIE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ERIE's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IREN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ERIE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$330.96
Downside-18%$220.46

Calculated from the latest close: $270.00 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ERIE and IREN's risk to reward.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ERIE and IREN's risk to reward.

ERIE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.52Q1 2024: $9.25Q2 2024: $10.13Q3 2024: $10.68Q4 2024: $11.48Q1 2025: $11.75Q2 2025: $11.96Q3 2025: $12.37Q4 2025: $10.66Q1 2026: $10.87Q2 2026: $10.98Q3 2026: $7.51Forward: $13.23
Q4 2023: $8.52Q1 2024: $9.25Q2 2024: $10.13Q3 2024: $10.68Q4 2024: $11.48Q1 2025: $11.75Q2 2025: $11.96Q3 2025: $12.37Q4 2025: $10.66Q1 2026: $10.87Q2 2026: $10.98Q3 2026: $7.51Forward: $13.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.23+76%
Q3 2026$7.51-39%
Q2 2026$10.98-8.2%
Q1 2026$10.87-7.5%
Q4 2025$10.66-7.1%
Q3 2025$12.37+16%
Q2 2025$11.96+18%
Q1 2025$11.75+27%
Q4 2024$11.48+35%

ERIE has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ERIE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $818MQ1 2024: $881MQ2 2024: $990MQ3 2024: $1000MQ4 2024: $924MQ1 2025: $989MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $951MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $818MQ1 2024: $881MQ2 2024: $990MQ3 2024: $1000MQ4 2024: $924MQ1 2025: $989MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $951MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+0.2%
Q2 2026$1.1B+2.8%
Q1 2026$1B+2.3%
Q4 2025$951.2M+2.9%
Q3 2025$1.1B+6.7%
Q2 2025$1.1B+7%
Q1 2025$989.4M+12%
Q4 2024$924.1M+13%

ERIE's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.1B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN's revenue has held roughly level: $228M last quarter, down 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

ERIE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $128MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $103MQ3 2024: $171MQ4 2024: $147MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $157MQ3 2025: $184MQ4 2025: $141MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: $173MQ3 2026: $185M
Q4 2023: $128MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $103MQ3 2024: $171MQ4 2024: $147MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $157MQ3 2025: $184MQ4 2025: $141MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: $173MQ3 2026: $185M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$185.4M+0.5%
Q2 2026$173.4M+10%
Q1 2026$54.5M-38%
Q4 2025$140.8M-4.1%
Q3 2025$184.4M+7.6%
Q2 2025$157.3M+52%
Q1 2025$88.4M+37%
Q4 2024$146.8M+15%

ERIE has the edge over IREN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was โˆ’$2.5B over the past year, against โˆ’$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

ERIE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 52MQ4 2024: 52MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 52MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 0
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 52MQ4 2024: 52MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 52MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 0
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-390K shares
1 year0%-8.3K shares
3 years-0.7%-383K shares
5 years-10%-6.1M shares
Available history-10%-6.1M shares

ERIE has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

ERIE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

ERIE has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ERIE.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

ERIE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.0Neutral
Stochastic74.4Neutral

ERIE's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

ERIE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricERIESector medianRelative
PE36x13x176% above
PE %526311 pts below

ERIE is trading at 36x earnings, a 176% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ERIE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$246.09.8% above
20 week MA$247.19.3% above
50 week MA$251.37.4% above
100 week MA$307.612% below
200 week MA$321.016% below

ERIE has the edge over IREN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.

ERIE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$166.4$243.3+46%
2021$243.3$190.2-22%
2022$190.2$276.3+45%
2023$276.3$334.9+21%
2024$334.9$419.3+25%
2025$419.3$282.4-33%
2026 YTD$282.4$270.0-4.4%

ERIE has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to โˆ’93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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