ERIE
Erie Indemnity Company
ERIE's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
GS has the edge over ERIE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
ERIE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
ERIE's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ERIE.
GS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.
ERIE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 20x | $270 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $201 | -26% |
| Fair | 35x | $266 | -1.4% |
| Current | 36x | $270 | — |
| Expensive | 43x | $324 | +20% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ERIE has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.6x | $528 | -42% |
| Current | 13x | $914 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $914 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $940 | +2.9% |
| Expensive | 17x | $1,214 | +33% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
ERIE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ERIE's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
GS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ERIE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.23 | +76% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.51 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.98 | -8.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.87 | -7.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.66 | -7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.37 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.96 | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.75 | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.48 | +35% |
ERIE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $7.51 over the past year, against $12.37 in late 2025.
GS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $72.35 | +4% |
| Q3 2026 | $69.58 | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $64.82 | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $54.75 | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.32 | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $49.22 | +44% |
| Q2 2025 | $45.37 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.08 | +68% |
| Q4 2024 | $40.54 | +77% |
GS has the edge over ERIE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ERIE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +2.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $951.2M | +2.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +6.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +7% |
| Q1 2025 | $989.4M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $924.1M | +13% |
ERIE's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.1B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | -1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | +1.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 15% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | +2.6 points |
ERIE's operating margin was 19% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
GS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.7B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.3B | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.5B | -3% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.2B | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.1B | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.9B | +23% |
GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 37% | +2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 42% | +8.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 38% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 44% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 36% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 38% | +18 points |
GS has the edge over ERIE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ERIE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $185.4M | +0.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $173.4M | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $54.5M | -38% |
| Q4 2025 | $140.8M | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $184.4M | +7.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $157.3M | +52% |
| Q1 2025 | $88.4M | +37% |
| Q4 2024 | $146.8M | +15% |
ERIE has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
GS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +72% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.6B | +7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | -$32.4B | +$5.3B |
| Q4 2025 | -$16.8B | -136% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B | +$40.6B |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2B | -6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | -$37.7B | -$9.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $46.2B | +$75.1B |
GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.
ERIE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -390K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | -8.3K shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -383K shares |
| 5 years | -10% | -6.1M shares |
| Available history | -10% | -6.1M shares |
ERIE has the edge over GS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
ERIE hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
GS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.4% | -13.9M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -42.8M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -52.8M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -74.4M shares |
GS has 301M diluted shares, down 4.4% from a year ago, with $15B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B |
| Q2 2026 | $4B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $3B |
| Q3 2025 | $2B |
| Q2 2025 | $3B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B |
GS spent $15B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 32% from the year before.
ERIE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
ERIE has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ERIE.
GS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -6.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.7x | Net Cash |
GS has the edge over ERIE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ERIE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.4 | Neutral |
ERIE's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
GS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.3 | Oversold |
GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
ERIE PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | ERIE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36x | 13x | 176% above |
| PE % | 52 | 63 | 11 pts below |
ERIE is trading at 36x earnings, a 176% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.
GS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | GS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 0.8% above |
| PE % | 46 | 63 | 17 pts below |
GS has the edge over ERIE on valuation relative to its sector.
ERIE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $246.0 | 9.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $247.1 | 9.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $251.3 | 7.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $307.6 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $321.0 | 16% below |
ERIE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 16% below its 200-week average.
GS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $895.5 | 2% above |
| 20 week MA | $977.4 | 6.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $945.4 | 3.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $804.5 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $602.7 | 52% above |
GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.
ERIE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $166.4 | $243.3 | +46% |
| 2021 | $243.3 | $190.2 | -22% |
| 2022 | $190.2 | $276.3 | +45% |
| 2023 | $276.3 | $334.9 | +21% |
| 2024 | $334.9 | $419.3 | +25% |
| 2025 | $419.3 | $282.4 | -33% |
| 2026 YTD | $282.4 | $270.0 | -4.4% |
ERIE has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 4.4% so far in 2026.
GS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $230.7 | $256.2 | +11% |
| 2021 | $256.2 | $385.0 | +50% |
| 2022 | $385.0 | $345.5 | -10% |
| 2023 | $345.5 | $385.8 | +12% |
| 2024 | $385.8 | $576.2 | +49% |
| 2025 | $576.2 | $907.0 | +57% |
| 2026 YTD | $907.0 | $913.6 | +0.7% |
GS has the edge over ERIE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.