EPM

Evolution Petroleum Corporation

55
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

EPM lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now.

EPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Stable

EPM's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

EPM PE Valuation

EPM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EPM Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for EPM to show an outlook.

EPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$4.51
Downside-23%$2.68

Calculated from the latest close: $3.47 on Nov 12.

EPM's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +30% against −23%.

EPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.08Q2 2024: $0.12Q3 2024: $0.14Q4 2024: $0.05Q1 2025: $-0.03Q2 2025: $0.03Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $0.08Q1 2026: $-0.11Q2 2026: $-0.08Q3 2026: $-0.18
Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.08Q2 2024: $0.12Q3 2024: $0.14Q4 2024: $0.05Q1 2025: $-0.03Q2 2025: $0.03Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $0.08Q1 2026: $-0.11Q2 2026: $-0.08Q3 2026: $-0.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.18-$0.17
Q2 2026-$0.08-367%
Q1 2026-$0.11-$0.08
Q4 2025$0.08+60%
Q3 2025-$0.01-107%
Q2 2025$0.03-75%
Q1 2025-$0.03-138%
Q4 2024$0.05-90%

EPM is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.18 per share over the past year, against $0.63 at its worst in early 2021.

EPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $23M
Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $23M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$22.6M+6%
Q2 2026$24.2M+15%
Q1 2026$20.2M-11%
Q4 2025$20.7M+2%
Q3 2025$21.3M-2.8%
Q2 2025$21.1M-0.6%
Q1 2025$22.6M-2%
Q4 2024$20.3M-3.6%

EPM's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $23M last quarter, up 6% from the same quarter a year ago.

EPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.2M-59%
Q2 2026$6.8M-35%
Q1 2026$3.5M-52%
Q4 2025$5.4M-30%
Q3 2025$7.8M+2.5%
Q2 2025$10.5M+31%
Q1 2025$7.3M+116%
Q4 2024$7.7M+9.4%

EPM still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $19M over the past year.

EPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 37M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 37M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8.6%+2.9M shares
1 year+9.4%+3.2M shares
3 years+13%+4.2M shares
5 years+11%+3.7M shares
Available history+13%+4.2M shares

EPM has 37M diluted shares, up 9.4% from a year ago.

EPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xModerate
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 20241.0xVery low

EPM's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

EPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.4Neutral
Stochastic44.1Neutral

EPM's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

EPM PE vs Energy Sector

MetricEPMSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

EPM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.644.7% below
20 week MA$3.685.7% below
50 week MA$4.0013% below
100 week MA$4.4121% below
200 week MA$5.3635% below

EPM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 35% below its 200-week average.

EPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.65$2.72-52%
2021$2.72$4.96+82%
2022$4.96$7.16+44%
2023$7.16$5.81-19%
2024$5.81$5.03-13%
2025$5.03$3.58-29%
2026 YTD$3.58$3.47-3.1%

EPM has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 3.1% so far in 2026.

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