EPAM

EPAM Systems, Inc.

71
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

EPAM offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over EPAM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

EPAM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

EPAM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EPAM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x77x103x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x77x103x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$164—
Current21x$164—
Cheap24x$188+15%
Fair36x$291+78%
Expensive65x$517+216%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EPAM's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over EPAM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EPAM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect EPAM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

EPAM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$210.56
Downside-27%$118.89

Calculated from the latest close: $163.83 on Nov 12.

EPAM trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with more potential downside for the same potential upside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EPAM, with less potential downside for the same potential upside.

EPAM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.06Q1 2024: $7.30Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.69Q4 2024: $7.84Q1 2025: $7.15Q2 2025: $7.01Q3 2025: $6.55Q4 2025: $6.72Q1 2026: $6.96Q2 2026: $7.37Q3 2026: $7.99Forward: $14.10
Q4 2023: $7.06Q1 2024: $7.30Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.69Q4 2024: $7.84Q1 2025: $7.15Q2 2025: $7.01Q3 2025: $6.55Q4 2025: $6.72Q1 2026: $6.96Q2 2026: $7.37Q3 2026: $7.99Forward: $14.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$14.10+76%
Q3 2026$7.99+22%
Q2 2026$7.37+5.1%
Q1 2026$6.96-2.7%
Q4 2025$6.72-14%
Q3 2025$6.55-15%
Q2 2025$7.01+0.6%
Q1 2025$7.15-2.1%
Q4 2024$7.84+11%

EPAM earned $7.99 per share over the past year, up 22% from the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over EPAM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EPAM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+2.3%
Q2 2026$1.4B+4.5%
Q1 2026$1.4B+7.6%
Q4 2025$1.4B+13%
Q3 2025$1.4B+19%
Q2 2025$1.4B+18%
Q1 2025$1.3B+12%
Q4 2024$1.2B+7.9%

EPAM's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over EPAM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

EPAM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $161MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $52MQ3 2024: $237MQ4 2024: $115MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $286MQ4 2025: $268MQ1 2026: −$54MQ2 2026: −$18MQ3 2026: $274M
Q4 2023: $161MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $52MQ3 2024: $237MQ4 2024: $115MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $286MQ4 2025: $268MQ1 2026: −$54MQ2 2026: −$18MQ3 2026: $274M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$274.2M-4.3%
Q2 2026-$17.6M-141%
Q1 2026-$54.2M-466%
Q4 2025$268.1M+134%
Q3 2025$286.4M+21%
Q2 2025$43.4M-17%
Q1 2025$14.8M-88%
Q4 2024$114.5M-29%

EPAM generated $470M in free cash flow over the past year, up 2.5% from the year before.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over EPAM on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

EPAM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-798K shares
1 year-7.8%-4.3M shares
3 years-13%-7.5M shares
5 years-13%-7.7M shares
Available history-11%-6.2M shares

EPAM has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

EPAM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.4xQ1 2024: -3.4xQ2 2024: -3.2xQ3 2024: -3.3xQ4 2024: -2.0xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -2.0xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q4 2023: -3.4xQ1 2024: -3.4xQ2 2024: -3.2xQ3 2024: -3.3xQ4 2024: -2.0xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -2.0xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.0xNet Cash

EPAM has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

EPAM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.8Overbought
Stochastic93.9Overbought

EPAM's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 94 (overbought).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

EPAM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricEPAMSector medianRelative
PE21x28x26% below
PE %113524 pts below

EPAM has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

EPAM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$131.525% above
20 week MA$114.044% above
50 week MA$134.522% above
100 week MA$158.53.3% above
200 week MA$203.620% below

EPAM has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 20% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

EPAM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$214.4$356.3+66%
2021$356.3$663.1+86%
2022$663.1$323.7-51%
2023$323.7$297.3-8.1%
2024$297.3$238.5-20%
2025$238.5$211.4-11%
2026 YTD$211.4$163.8-23%

EPAM has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 23% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over EPAM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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