ENSG

The Ensign Group, Inc.

65
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

ENSG has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ENSG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

ENSG's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

ENSG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward22x$187—
Cheap23x$153-18%
Fair25x$171-8.2%
Current28x$187—
Expensive32x$216+16%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ENSG's PE is in its expensive range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over ENSG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ENSG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

ENSG has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ENSG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$222.87
Downside-11%$165.21

Calculated from the latest close: $186.54 on Nov 12.

ENSG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails ENSG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ENSG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.65Q1 2024: $3.79Q2 2024: $3.89Q3 2024: $4.12Q4 2024: $5.12Q1 2025: $5.30Q2 2025: $5.52Q3 2025: $5.60Q4 2025: $5.84Q1 2026: $6.14Q2 2026: $6.38Q3 2026: $6.72Forward: $8.60
Q4 2023: $3.65Q1 2024: $3.79Q2 2024: $3.89Q3 2024: $4.12Q4 2024: $5.12Q1 2025: $5.30Q2 2025: $5.52Q3 2025: $5.60Q4 2025: $5.84Q1 2026: $6.14Q2 2026: $6.38Q3 2026: $6.72Forward: $8.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.60+28%
Q3 2026$6.72+20%
Q2 2026$6.38+16%
Q1 2026$6.14+16%
Q4 2025$5.84+14%
Q3 2025$5.60+36%
Q2 2025$5.52+42%
Q1 2025$5.30+40%
Q4 2024$5.12+40%

ENSG has the edge over NVO on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

ENSG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $980MQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $980MQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+14%
Q2 2026$1.4B+17%
Q1 2026$1.4B+18%
Q4 2025$1.4B+20%
Q3 2025$1.3B+20%
Q2 2025$1.2B+18%
Q1 2025$1.2B+16%
Q4 2024$1.1B+15%

ENSG has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

ENSG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $134MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $156MQ3 2025: $153MQ4 2025: $183MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $172MQ3 2026: $240M
Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $134MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $156MQ3 2025: $153MQ4 2025: $183MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $172MQ3 2026: $240M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$240.2M+57%
Q2 2026$172M+10%
Q1 2026$100.2M+39%
Q4 2025$183.3M+82%
Q3 2025$153M+14%
Q2 2025$155.7M+102%
Q1 2025$72.2M+105%
Q4 2024$100.5M+18%

ENSG has the edge over NVO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

ENSG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 59M
Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 59M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-180K shares
1 year+0.6%+347K shares
3 years+3.4%+2M shares
5 years+4.1%+2.3M shares
Available history+5.9%+3.3M shares

ENSG has 59M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over ENSG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ENSG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

ENSG has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ENSG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.6Neutral
Stochastic70.3Neutral

ENSG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

ENSG PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricENSGSector medianRelative
PE28x26x7.4% above
PE %662937 pts above

ENSG is trading at 28x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over ENSG on valuation relative to its sector.

ENSG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$177.55.1% above
20 week MA$175.86.1% above
50 week MA$181.03.1% above
100 week MA$165.713% above
200 week MA$139.933% above

ENSG has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

ENSG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.7$72.8+63%
2021$72.8$81.8+12%
2022$81.8$95.0+16%
2023$95.0$112.2+18%
2024$112.2$134.0+19%
2025$134.0$176.4+32%
2026 YTD$176.4$186.5+5.7%

ENSG has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key