ENPH

Enphase Energy, Inc.

29
Fundamentals26/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential33/ 100
Risk potential64/ 100

ENPH's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 8 points to 4.2% and revenue fell 20%, though it turned 11% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 40x earnings, it's trading below its usual 69x. Analysts expect earnings to fall sharply, though they disagree widely on how much.

ENPH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Stable
Stable
Healthy

ENPH's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its profitability and cash flow are stable, but its revenue is weak.

ENPH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE78x156x235x313x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE78x156x235x313x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$26.78—
Cheap31x$20.71-23%
Current40x$26.78—
Fair67x$45.16+69%
Expensive162x$108+305%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ENPH's PE is in its fair range at 40x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 25x, in its cheap range.

ENPH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong decline
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect ENPH's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ENPH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$35.21
Downside-64%$9.69

Calculated from the latest close: $26.78 on Nov 12.

ENPH's one-year downside scenario is about twice its upside: −64% against +31%.

ENPH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $1.94Q2 2024: $0.93Q3 2024: $0.46Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $1.09Q2 2025: $1.29Q3 2025: $1.46Q4 2025: $1.29Q1 2026: $1.01Q2 2026: $1.00Q3 2026: $0.67Forward: $1.07
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $1.94Q2 2024: $0.93Q3 2024: $0.46Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $1.09Q2 2025: $1.29Q3 2025: $1.46Q4 2025: $1.29Q1 2026: $1.01Q2 2026: $1.00Q3 2026: $0.67Forward: $1.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.07+59%
Q3 2026$0.67-54%
Q2 2026$1.00-22%
Q1 2026$1.01-7.3%
Q4 2025$1.29+72%
Q3 2025$1.46+217%
Q2 2025$1.29+39%
Q1 2025$1.09-44%
Q4 2024$0.75-76%

ENPH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.67 over the past year, against $3.97 in mid-2023.

ENPH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $303MQ1 2024: $263MQ2 2024: $303MQ3 2024: $381MQ4 2024: $383MQ1 2025: $356MQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $410MQ4 2025: $343MQ1 2026: $283MQ2 2026: $292MQ3 2026: $293M
Q4 2023: $303MQ1 2024: $263MQ2 2024: $303MQ3 2024: $381MQ4 2024: $383MQ1 2025: $356MQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $410MQ4 2025: $343MQ1 2026: $283MQ2 2026: $292MQ3 2026: $293M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$293.3M-29%
Q2 2026$291.9M-20%
Q1 2026$282.9M-21%
Q4 2025$343.3M-10%
Q3 2025$410.4M+7.8%
Q2 2025$363.2M+20%
Q1 2025$356.1M+35%
Q4 2024$382.7M+26%

ENPH's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $293M last quarter, down 29% from the same quarter a year ago.

ENPH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $159MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $83MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $159MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $83MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$11.4M-293%
Q2 2026$25.9M+41%
Q1 2026$83M+145%
Q4 2025$37.8M-76%
Q3 2025$5.9M-96%
Q2 2025$18.4M-84%
Q1 2025$33.8M-19%
Q4 2024$159.2M+936%

ENPH usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$11M, but it generated $135M over the past year.

ENPH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 143MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 140MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 136MQ2 2025: 135MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 131MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 135M
Q4 2023: 143MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 140MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 136MQ2 2025: 135MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 131MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 135M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+76K shares
1 year+1.7%+2.2M shares
3 years-6%-8.7M shares
5 years-4.3%-6M shares
Available history+2.7%+3.6M shares

ENPH has 135M diluted shares, up 1.7% from a year ago.

ENPH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 6.5xQ3 2024: 11.1xQ4 2024: 5.9xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 1.5x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 6.5xQ3 2024: 11.1xQ4 2024: 5.9xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.5xHealthy
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.0xModerate
Q2 20253.3xElevated
Q1 20253.9xElevated
Q4 20245.9xHigh

ENPH's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.0 years a year ago.

ENPH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.8Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

ENPH's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

ENPH PE vs Energy Sector

MetricENPHSector medianRelative
PE40x13x205% above
PE %336128 pts below

ENPH is trading at 40x earnings, a 205% premium to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

ENPH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.211% below
20 week MA$35.625% below
50 week MA$39.432% below
100 week MA$43.138% below
200 week MA$87.269% below

ENPH is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 69% below its 200-week average.

ENPH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.8$181.4+578%
2021$181.4$188.2+3.7%
2022$188.2$294.0+56%
2023$294.0$132.1-55%
2024$132.1$72.1-45%
2025$72.1$33.0-54%
2026 YTD$33.0$26.8-19%

ENPH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 19% so far in 2026.

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