EME

EMCOR Group, Inc.

73
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

EME's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 22% and earnings per share grew 39%. At 19x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 21x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

EME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

EME's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x53x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x53x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$569-14%
Forward17x$663—
Current19x$663—
Fair21x$726+9.5%
Expensive27x$940+42%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EME's PE is in its cheap range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

EME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for EME, with profitability improving.

EME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+58%$1,048.42
Downside-12%$580.88

Calculated from the latest close: $662.77 on Nov 12.

EME's one-year upside scenario is about five times its downside: +58% against −12%.

EME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $13.31Q1 2024: $15.16Q2 2024: $17.46Q3 2024: $19.69Q4 2024: $21.52Q1 2025: $22.61Q2 2025: $24.08Q3 2025: $24.85Q4 2025: $28.19Q1 2026: $29.77Q2 2026: $32.11Q3 2026: $34.58Forward: $39.43
Q4 2023: $13.31Q1 2024: $15.16Q2 2024: $17.46Q3 2024: $19.69Q4 2024: $21.52Q1 2025: $22.61Q2 2025: $24.08Q3 2025: $24.85Q4 2025: $28.19Q1 2026: $29.77Q2 2026: $32.11Q3 2026: $34.58Forward: $39.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$39.43+14%
Q3 2026$34.58+39%
Q2 2026$32.11+33%
Q1 2026$29.77+32%
Q4 2025$28.19+31%
Q3 2025$24.85+26%
Q2 2025$24.08+38%
Q1 2025$22.61+49%
Q4 2024$21.52+62%

EME's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $34.58 over the past year, up 39% from the year before, and higher year over year for 22 quarters in a row.

EME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $4.3BQ3 2025: $4.3BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $5.2BQ3 2026: $5.5B
Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $4.3BQ3 2025: $4.3BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $5.2BQ3 2026: $5.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.5B+29%
Q2 2026$5.2B+20%
Q1 2026$4.6B+20%
Q4 2025$4.5B+20%
Q3 2025$4.3B+16%
Q2 2025$4.3B+17%
Q1 2025$3.9B+13%
Q4 2024$3.8B+9.6%

EME's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $5.5B last quarter, up 29% from the same quarter a year ago.

EME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $402MQ1 2024: $112MQ2 2024: $260MQ3 2024: $509MQ4 2024: $452MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $166MQ3 2025: $449MQ4 2025: $492MQ1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: $258MQ3 2026: $760M
Q4 2023: $402MQ1 2024: $112MQ2 2024: $260MQ3 2024: $509MQ4 2024: $452MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $166MQ3 2025: $449MQ4 2025: $492MQ1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: $258MQ3 2026: $760M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$759.6M+69%
Q2 2026$258.2M+56%
Q1 2026-$28.2M-134%
Q4 2025$492.5M+9%
Q3 2025$448.8M-12%
Q2 2025$165.6M-36%
Q1 2025$82.3M-26%
Q4 2024$451.8M+12%

EME generated $1.5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 29% from the year before.

EME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 44M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 44M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-307K shares
1 year-1.6%-723K shares
3 years-6.7%-3.2M shares
5 years-18%-9.7M shares
Available history-22%-12.3M shares

EME has 44M diluted shares, down 1.6% from a year ago, with $611M in buybacks over the past year.

EME Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash

EME has more cash than debt.

EME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.4Neutral
Stochastic20.0Oversold

EME's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

EME PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricEMESector medianRelative
PE19x24x20% below
PE %315827 pts below

EME is trading at 19x earnings, a 20% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

EME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$707.36.3% below
20 week MA$747.811% below
50 week MA$754.812% below
100 week MA$639.03.7% above
200 week MA$458.944% above

EME has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

EME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$87.1$92.2+5.9%
2021$92.2$125.6+36%
2022$125.6$149.9+19%
2023$149.9$215.4+44%
2024$215.4$459.4+113%
2025$459.4$627.1+37%
2026 YTD$627.1$662.8+5.7%

EME has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 5.7% so far in 2026.

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