ELV

Elevance Health Inc.

54
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

ELV trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over ELV overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

ELV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Stable

ELV's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are stable.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

ELV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$333-22%
Forward15x$430—
Fair18x$416-3.3%
Current18x$430—
Expensive20x$470+9.4%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ELV has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ELV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect ELV's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

UNH has the edge over ELV on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

ELV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$522.06
Downside-20%$343.75

Calculated from the latest close: $429.90 on Nov 12.

ELV trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ELV, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ELV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $25.22Q1 2024: $26.51Q2 2024: $28.57Q3 2024: $27.48Q4 2024: $25.68Q1 2025: $25.70Q2 2025: $23.57Q3 2025: $24.53Q4 2025: $25.21Q1 2026: $23.60Q2 2026: $22.59Q3 2026: $23.54Forward: $28.82
Q4 2023: $25.22Q1 2024: $26.51Q2 2024: $28.57Q3 2024: $27.48Q4 2024: $25.68Q1 2025: $25.70Q2 2025: $23.57Q3 2025: $24.53Q4 2025: $25.21Q1 2026: $23.60Q2 2026: $22.59Q3 2026: $23.54Forward: $28.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$28.82+22%
Q3 2026$23.54-4%
Q2 2026$22.59-4.2%
Q1 2026$23.60-8.2%
Q4 2025$25.21-1.8%
Q3 2025$24.53-11%
Q2 2025$23.57-18%
Q1 2025$25.70-3.1%
Q4 2024$25.68+1.8%

ELV earned $23.54 per share over the past year, down 4% from the year before.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

ELV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42.6BQ1 2024: $42.6BQ2 2024: $43.9BQ3 2024: $45.1BQ4 2024: $45.4BQ1 2025: $48.9BQ2 2025: $49.8BQ3 2025: $50.7BQ4 2025: $49.7BQ1 2026: $50.2BQ2 2026: $50.5BQ3 2026: $51.4B
Q4 2023: $42.6BQ1 2024: $42.6BQ2 2024: $43.9BQ3 2024: $45.1BQ4 2024: $45.4BQ1 2025: $48.9BQ2 2025: $49.8BQ3 2025: $50.7BQ4 2025: $49.7BQ1 2026: $50.2BQ2 2026: $50.5BQ3 2026: $51.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$51.4B+1.4%
Q2 2026$50.5B+1.4%
Q1 2026$50.2B+2.6%
Q4 2025$49.7B+9.5%
Q3 2025$50.7B+12%
Q2 2025$49.8B+13%
Q1 2025$48.9B+15%
Q4 2024$45.4B+6.6%

ELV's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $51.4B last quarter, up 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

ELV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3.3BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $124MQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $384MQ1 2025: $821MQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $775MQ4 2025: −$209MQ1 2026: $4.1BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: −$3.3BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $124MQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $384MQ1 2025: $821MQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $775MQ4 2025: −$209MQ1 2026: $4.1BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1B+29%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9%
Q1 2026$4.1B+399%
Q4 2025-$209M-154%
Q3 2025$775M-67%
Q2 2025$1.8B+1341%
Q1 2025$821M-52%
Q4 2024$384M+$3.7B

ELV still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $6.5B over the past year.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over ELV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ELV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 234MQ2 2024: 233MQ3 2024: 233MQ4 2024: 233MQ1 2025: 227MQ2 2025: 226MQ3 2025: 224MQ4 2025: 225MQ1 2026: 220MQ2 2026: 218MQ3 2026: 218M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 234MQ2 2024: 233MQ3 2024: 233MQ4 2024: 233MQ1 2025: 227MQ2 2025: 226MQ3 2025: 224MQ4 2025: 225MQ1 2026: 220MQ2 2026: 218MQ3 2026: 218M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-300K shares
1 year-2.7%-6.1M shares
3 years-8%-18.9M shares
5 years-12%-28.4M shares
Available history-16%-42.7M shares

ELV has the edge over UNH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has 902M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $5B in buybacks over the past year.

ELV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xModerate
Q2 20263.0xModerate
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.4xModerate
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.6xModerate

ELV's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH has the edge over ELV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ELV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.8Neutral
Stochastic68.7Neutral

ELV's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

ELV PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricELVSector medianRelative
PE18x26x29% below
PE %572928 pts above

ELV has the edge over UNH on valuation relative to its sector.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

ELV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$417.43% above
20 week MA$406.35.8% above
50 week MA$373.015% above
100 week MA$368.417% above
200 week MA$424.71.2% above

ELV has the edge over UNH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

ELV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$306.4$308.7+0.7%
2021$308.7$455.7+48%
2022$455.7$514.3+13%
2023$514.3$471.6-8.3%
2024$471.6$371.1-21%
2025$371.1$349.9-5.7%
2026 YTD$349.9$429.9+23%

ELV has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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