ELV

Elevance Health Inc.

54
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

ELV trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over ELV overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

ELV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Stable

ELV's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are stable.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ELV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$333-22%
Forward15x$430—
Fair18x$416-3.3%
Current18x$430—
Expensive20x$470+9.4%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ELV has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ELV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect ELV's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over ELV on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

ELV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$522.06
Downside-20%$343.75

Calculated from the latest close: $429.90 on Nov 12.

ELV trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ELV, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ELV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $25.22Q1 2024: $26.51Q2 2024: $28.57Q3 2024: $27.48Q4 2024: $25.68Q1 2025: $25.70Q2 2025: $23.57Q3 2025: $24.53Q4 2025: $25.21Q1 2026: $23.60Q2 2026: $22.59Q3 2026: $23.54Forward: $28.82
Q4 2023: $25.22Q1 2024: $26.51Q2 2024: $28.57Q3 2024: $27.48Q4 2024: $25.68Q1 2025: $25.70Q2 2025: $23.57Q3 2025: $24.53Q4 2025: $25.21Q1 2026: $23.60Q2 2026: $22.59Q3 2026: $23.54Forward: $28.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$28.82+22%
Q3 2026$23.54-4%
Q2 2026$22.59-4.2%
Q1 2026$23.60-8.2%
Q4 2025$25.21-1.8%
Q3 2025$24.53-11%
Q2 2025$23.57-18%
Q1 2025$25.70-3.1%
Q4 2024$25.68+1.8%

ELV earned $23.54 per share over the past year, down 4% from the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over ELV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ELV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42.6BQ1 2024: $42.6BQ2 2024: $43.9BQ3 2024: $45.1BQ4 2024: $45.4BQ1 2025: $48.9BQ2 2025: $49.8BQ3 2025: $50.7BQ4 2025: $49.7BQ1 2026: $50.2BQ2 2026: $50.5BQ3 2026: $51.4B
Q4 2023: $42.6BQ1 2024: $42.6BQ2 2024: $43.9BQ3 2024: $45.1BQ4 2024: $45.4BQ1 2025: $48.9BQ2 2025: $49.8BQ3 2025: $50.7BQ4 2025: $49.7BQ1 2026: $50.2BQ2 2026: $50.5BQ3 2026: $51.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$51.4B+1.4%
Q2 2026$50.5B+1.4%
Q1 2026$50.2B+2.6%
Q4 2025$49.7B+9.5%
Q3 2025$50.7B+12%
Q2 2025$49.8B+13%
Q1 2025$48.9B+15%
Q4 2024$45.4B+6.6%

ELV's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $51.4B last quarter, up 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over ELV on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ELV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3.3BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $124MQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $384MQ1 2025: $821MQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $775MQ4 2025: −$209MQ1 2026: $4.1BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: −$3.3BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $124MQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $384MQ1 2025: $821MQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $775MQ4 2025: −$209MQ1 2026: $4.1BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1B+29%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9%
Q1 2026$4.1B+399%
Q4 2025-$209M-154%
Q3 2025$775M-67%
Q2 2025$1.8B+1341%
Q1 2025$821M-52%
Q4 2024$384M+$3.7B

ELV still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $6.5B over the past year.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over ELV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ELV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 234MQ2 2024: 233MQ3 2024: 233MQ4 2024: 233MQ1 2025: 227MQ2 2025: 226MQ3 2025: 224MQ4 2025: 225MQ1 2026: 220MQ2 2026: 218MQ3 2026: 218M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 234MQ2 2024: 233MQ3 2024: 233MQ4 2024: 233MQ1 2025: 227MQ2 2025: 226MQ3 2025: 224MQ4 2025: 225MQ1 2026: 220MQ2 2026: 218MQ3 2026: 218M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-300K shares
1 year-2.7%-6.1M shares
3 years-8%-18.9M shares
5 years-12%-28.4M shares
Available history-16%-42.7M shares

ELV has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

ELV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xModerate
Q2 20263.0xModerate
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.4xModerate
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.6xModerate

ELV's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over ELV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ELV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.8Neutral
Stochastic68.7Neutral

ELV's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

ELV PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricELVSector medianRelative
PE18x26x29% below
PE %572928 pts above

ELV has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

ELV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$417.43% above
20 week MA$406.35.8% above
50 week MA$373.015% above
100 week MA$368.417% above
200 week MA$424.71.2% above

ELV has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 1.2% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

ELV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$306.4$308.7+0.7%
2021$308.7$455.7+48%
2022$455.7$514.3+13%
2023$514.3$471.6-8.3%
2024$471.6$371.1-21%
2025$371.1$349.9-5.7%
2026 YTD$349.9$429.9+23%

ELV has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 23% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over ELV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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