ELAN

Elanco Animal Health Incorporated

60
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

ELAN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has a slight edge over ELAN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

ELAN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

ELAN's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

ELAN PE Valuation

ELAN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ELAN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

ELAN has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ELAN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$34.99
Downside-23%$20.37

Calculated from the latest close: $26.50 on Nov 12.

ELAN trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ELAN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ELAN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.50Q1 2024: $-2.65Q2 2024: $-2.55Q3 2024: $0.40Q4 2024: $0.68Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $0.07Q4 2025: $-0.47Q1 2026: $-0.49Q2 2026: $-0.40Q3 2026: $-0.29Forward: $1.24
Q4 2023: $-2.50Q1 2024: $-2.65Q2 2024: $-2.55Q3 2024: $0.40Q4 2024: $0.68Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $0.07Q4 2025: $-0.47Q1 2026: $-0.49Q2 2026: $-0.40Q3 2026: $-0.29Forward: $1.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.24—
Q3 2026-$0.29-514%
Q2 2026-$0.40-146%
Q1 2026-$0.49-165%
Q4 2025-$0.47-169%
Q3 2025$0.07-83%
Q2 2025$0.87+$3.42
Q1 2025$0.75+$3.40
Q4 2024$0.68+$3.18

ELAN has swung to a loss: it lost $0.29 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over ELAN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ELAN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+11%
Q2 2026$1.4B+10%
Q1 2026$1.4B+15%
Q4 2025$1.1B+12%
Q3 2025$1.1B+10%
Q2 2025$1.2B+4.8%
Q1 2025$1.2B-1%
Q4 2024$1B-1.4%

ELAN's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $1.3B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

ELAN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $166MQ3 2024: $120MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: −$69MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $127MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: −$38MQ2 2026: $244MQ3 2026: $156M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $166MQ3 2024: $120MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: −$69MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $127MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: −$38MQ2 2026: $244MQ3 2026: $156M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$156M+23%
Q2 2026$244M+36%
Q1 2026-$38M+$31M
Q4 2025$46M-65%
Q3 2025$127M+5.8%
Q2 2025$180M+8.4%
Q1 2025-$69M-$47M
Q3 2024$120M-39%

ELAN has the edge over UNH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

ELAN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 492MQ1 2024: 496MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 497MQ1 2025: 499MQ2 2025: 500MQ3 2025: 497MQ4 2025: 496MQ1 2026: 506MQ2 2026: 506MQ3 2026: 507M
Q4 2023: 492MQ1 2024: 496MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 497MQ1 2025: 499MQ2 2025: 500MQ3 2025: 497MQ4 2025: 496MQ1 2026: 506MQ2 2026: 506MQ3 2026: 507M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+600K shares
1 year+2%+9.7M shares
3 years+2.8%+13.8M shares
5 years+3.9%+19.2M shares
Available history+37%+136M shares

ELAN has 507M diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over ELAN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ELAN Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 7.6xQ1 2026: 7.2xQ2 2026: 6.4xQ3 2026: 5.4x
Q3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 7.6xQ1 2026: 7.2xQ2 2026: 6.4xQ3 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.4xHigh
Q2 20266.4xHigh
Q1 20267.2xHigh
Q4 20257.6xHigh
Q3 20255.4xHigh
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated

ELAN's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH has the edge over ELAN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ELAN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.4Neutral
Stochastic59.7Neutral

ELAN's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

ELAN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricELANSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

ELAN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

ELAN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.612% above
20 week MA$24.011% above
50 week MA$23.712% above
100 week MA$19.238% above
200 week MA$16.065% above

ELAN has the edge over UNH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

ELAN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.3$30.5+4.1%
2021$30.5$28.9-5.4%
2022$28.9$11.7-59%
2023$11.7$14.9+27%
2024$14.9$12.1-19%
2025$12.1$22.6+87%
2026 YTD$22.6$26.5+17%

ELAN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 17% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over ELAN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key