ELAN

Elanco Animal Health Incorporated

60
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

ELAN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over ELAN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

ELAN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

ELAN's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ELAN PE Valuation

ELAN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ELAN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ELAN, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

ELAN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$34.99
Downside-23%$20.37

Calculated from the latest close: $26.50 on Nov 12.

ELAN trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ELAN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ELAN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.50Q1 2024: $-2.65Q2 2024: $-2.55Q3 2024: $0.40Q4 2024: $0.68Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $0.07Q4 2025: $-0.47Q1 2026: $-0.49Q2 2026: $-0.40Q3 2026: $-0.29Forward: $1.24
Q4 2023: $-2.50Q1 2024: $-2.65Q2 2024: $-2.55Q3 2024: $0.40Q4 2024: $0.68Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $0.07Q4 2025: $-0.47Q1 2026: $-0.49Q2 2026: $-0.40Q3 2026: $-0.29Forward: $1.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.24—
Q3 2026-$0.29-514%
Q2 2026-$0.40-146%
Q1 2026-$0.49-165%
Q4 2025-$0.47-169%
Q3 2025$0.07-83%
Q2 2025$0.87+$3.42
Q1 2025$0.75+$3.40
Q4 2024$0.68+$3.18

ELAN has swung to a loss: it lost $0.29 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over ELAN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ELAN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+11%
Q2 2026$1.4B+10%
Q1 2026$1.4B+15%
Q4 2025$1.1B+12%
Q3 2025$1.1B+10%
Q2 2025$1.2B+4.8%
Q1 2025$1.2B-1%
Q4 2024$1B-1.4%

ELAN's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $1.3B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over ELAN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ELAN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $166MQ3 2024: $120MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: −$69MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $127MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: −$38MQ2 2026: $244MQ3 2026: $156M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $166MQ3 2024: $120MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: −$69MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $127MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: −$38MQ2 2026: $244MQ3 2026: $156M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$156M+23%
Q2 2026$244M+36%
Q1 2026-$38M+$31M
Q4 2025$46M-65%
Q3 2025$127M+5.8%
Q2 2025$180M+8.4%
Q1 2025-$69M-$47M
Q3 2024$120M-39%

ELAN generated $408M in free cash flow over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $4.1B over the past year.

ELAN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 492MQ1 2024: 496MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 497MQ1 2025: 499MQ2 2025: 500MQ3 2025: 497MQ4 2025: 496MQ1 2026: 506MQ2 2026: 506MQ3 2026: 507M
Q4 2023: 492MQ1 2024: 496MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 497MQ1 2025: 499MQ2 2025: 500MQ3 2025: 497MQ4 2025: 496MQ1 2026: 506MQ2 2026: 506MQ3 2026: 507M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+600K shares
1 year+2%+9.7M shares
3 years+2.8%+13.8M shares
5 years+3.9%+19.2M shares
Available history+37%+136M shares

ELAN has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

ELAN Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 7.6xQ1 2026: 7.2xQ2 2026: 6.4xQ3 2026: 5.4x
Q3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 7.6xQ1 2026: 7.2xQ2 2026: 6.4xQ3 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.4xHigh
Q2 20266.4xHigh
Q1 20267.2xHigh
Q4 20257.6xHigh
Q3 20255.4xHigh
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated

ELAN's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over ELAN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ELAN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.4Neutral
Stochastic59.7Neutral

ELAN's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

ELAN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricELANSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

ELAN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

ELAN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.612% above
20 week MA$24.011% above
50 week MA$23.712% above
100 week MA$19.238% above
200 week MA$16.065% above

ELAN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 65% above its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 106% above its 200-week average.

ELAN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.3$30.5+4.1%
2021$30.5$28.9-5.4%
2022$28.9$11.7-59%
2023$11.7$14.9+27%
2024$14.9$12.1-19%
2025$12.1$22.6+87%
2026 YTD$22.6$26.5+17%

ELAN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 17% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over ELAN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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