ELAN

Elanco Animal Health Incorporated

60
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

ELAN has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

ELAN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

ELAN's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

ELAN PE Valuation

ELAN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ELAN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

ELAN has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ELAN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$34.99
Downside-23%$20.37

Calculated from the latest close: $26.50 on Nov 12.

ELAN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails ELAN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ELAN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.50Q1 2024: $-2.65Q2 2024: $-2.55Q3 2024: $0.40Q4 2024: $0.68Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $0.07Q4 2025: $-0.47Q1 2026: $-0.49Q2 2026: $-0.40Q3 2026: $-0.29Forward: $1.24
Q4 2023: $-2.50Q1 2024: $-2.65Q2 2024: $-2.55Q3 2024: $0.40Q4 2024: $0.68Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $0.07Q4 2025: $-0.47Q1 2026: $-0.49Q2 2026: $-0.40Q3 2026: $-0.29Forward: $1.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.24—
Q3 2026-$0.29-514%
Q2 2026-$0.40-146%
Q1 2026-$0.49-165%
Q4 2025-$0.47-169%
Q3 2025$0.07-83%
Q2 2025$0.87+$3.42
Q1 2025$0.75+$3.40
Q4 2024$0.68+$3.18

ELAN has swung to a loss: it lost $0.29 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over ELAN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ELAN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+11%
Q2 2026$1.4B+10%
Q1 2026$1.4B+15%
Q4 2025$1.1B+12%
Q3 2025$1.1B+10%
Q2 2025$1.2B+4.8%
Q1 2025$1.2B-1%
Q4 2024$1B-1.4%

ELAN's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $1.3B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over ELAN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ELAN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $166MQ3 2024: $120MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: −$69MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $127MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: −$38MQ2 2026: $244MQ3 2026: $156M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $166MQ3 2024: $120MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: −$69MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $127MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: −$38MQ2 2026: $244MQ3 2026: $156M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$156M+23%
Q2 2026$244M+36%
Q1 2026-$38M+$31M
Q4 2025$46M-65%
Q3 2025$127M+5.8%
Q2 2025$180M+8.4%
Q1 2025-$69M-$47M
Q3 2024$120M-39%

ELAN has the edge over NVO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

ELAN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 492MQ1 2024: 496MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 497MQ1 2025: 499MQ2 2025: 500MQ3 2025: 497MQ4 2025: 496MQ1 2026: 506MQ2 2026: 506MQ3 2026: 507M
Q4 2023: 492MQ1 2024: 496MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 497MQ1 2025: 499MQ2 2025: 500MQ3 2025: 497MQ4 2025: 496MQ1 2026: 506MQ2 2026: 506MQ3 2026: 507M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+600K shares
1 year+2%+9.7M shares
3 years+2.8%+13.8M shares
5 years+3.9%+19.2M shares
Available history+37%+136M shares

ELAN has 507M diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over ELAN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ELAN Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 7.6xQ1 2026: 7.2xQ2 2026: 6.4xQ3 2026: 5.4x
Q3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 7.6xQ1 2026: 7.2xQ2 2026: 6.4xQ3 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.4xHigh
Q2 20266.4xHigh
Q1 20267.2xHigh
Q4 20257.6xHigh
Q3 20255.4xHigh
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated

ELAN's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over ELAN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ELAN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.4Neutral
Stochastic59.7Neutral

ELAN's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

ELAN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricELANSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

ELAN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

ELAN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.612% above
20 week MA$24.011% above
50 week MA$23.712% above
100 week MA$19.238% above
200 week MA$16.065% above

ELAN has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

ELAN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.3$30.5+4.1%
2021$30.5$28.9-5.4%
2022$28.9$11.7-59%
2023$11.7$14.9+27%
2024$14.9$12.1-19%
2025$12.1$22.6+87%
2026 YTD$22.6$26.5+17%

ELAN has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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