EFSI
Eagle Financial Services, Inc.
EFSI offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over EFSI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
EFSI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
EFSI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like EFSI.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
EFSI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9x | $29.71 | -35% |
| Fair | 10x | $34.48 | -25% |
| Expensive | 13x | $42.55 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 13x | $46.00 | — |
| Current | 14x | $46.00 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EFSI has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
EFSI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect EFSI's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over EFSI on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
EFSI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.42 | +3.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.30 | +48% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.46 | +60% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.52 | +70% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.30 | -70% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.23 | -32% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -27% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.07 | -22% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.32 | +62% |
EFSI earned $3.30 per share over the past year, up 48% from the year before.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over EFSI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EFSI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $22.9M | +2.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $25.6M | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.8M | +336% |
| Q4 2025 | $21.7M | -1.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.4M | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $20.6M | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8M | -70% |
| Q4 2024 | $22M | +38% |
EFSI's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $23M last quarter, up 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 25% | -5.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 26% | -6.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | +211 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | -12 points |
| Q3 2025 | 31% | +9.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | +8.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | -189% | -208 points |
| Q4 2024 | 37% | +23 points |
EFSI's operating margin was 25% last quarter, down 5.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS has the edge over EFSI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
EFSI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.4M | +225% |
| Q2 2026 | -$12.8M | -656% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.1M | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $9M | +48% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.8M | +7.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.3M | +$4.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $5.3M | -21% |
| Q4 2024 | $6M | +$12M |
EFSI has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
EFSI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -384 shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +35.3K shares |
| 3 years | +53% | +1.9M shares |
| 5 years | +58% | +2M shares |
| Available history | +57% | +2M shares |
EFSI has 5M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over EFSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
EFSI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 0.8x | Very low |
EFSI has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
EFSI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 70.7 | Neutral |
EFSI's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
EFSI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | EFSI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 7.1% above |
| PE % | 86 | 63 | 23 pts above |
EFSI has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
EFSI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $45.9 | 0.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $43.7 | 5.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $40.5 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $37.3 | 23% above |
| 200 week MA | $34.7 | 33% above |
EFSI has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
EFSI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $31.1 | $29.5 | -5% |
| 2021 | $29.5 | $34.6 | +17% |
| 2022 | $34.6 | $36.0 | +4.1% |
| 2023 | $36.0 | $30.0 | -17% |
| 2024 | $30.0 | $36.4 | +21% |
| 2025 | $36.4 | $40.3 | +11% |
| 2026 YTD | $40.3 | $46.0 | +14% |
EFSI has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.