EFSC

Enterprise Financial Services Corp

49
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

EFSC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over EFSC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

EFSC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

EFSC's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like EFSC.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

EFSC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.9x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.9x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.2x$40.64-35%
Fair11x$54.51-13%
Forward11x$62.38—
Expensive13x$63.92+2.5%
Current13x$62.38—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EFSC has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

EFSC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EFSC, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

EFSC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$73.95
Downside-13%$54.05

Calculated from the latest close: $62.38 on Nov 12.

EFSC trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EFSC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

EFSC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.07Q1 2024: $4.66Q2 2024: $4.56Q3 2024: $4.71Q4 2024: $4.83Q1 2025: $5.09Q2 2025: $5.26Q3 2025: $5.13Q4 2025: $5.31Q1 2026: $5.30Q2 2026: $5.03Q3 2026: $4.98Forward: $5.92
Q4 2023: $5.07Q1 2024: $4.66Q2 2024: $4.56Q3 2024: $4.71Q4 2024: $4.83Q1 2025: $5.09Q2 2025: $5.26Q3 2025: $5.13Q4 2025: $5.31Q1 2026: $5.30Q2 2026: $5.03Q3 2026: $4.98Forward: $5.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.92+19%
Q3 2026$4.98-2.9%
Q2 2026$5.03-4.4%
Q1 2026$5.30+4.1%
Q4 2025$5.31+9.9%
Q3 2025$5.13+8.9%
Q2 2025$5.26+15%
Q1 2025$5.09+9.2%
Q4 2024$4.83-4.7%

EFSC earned $4.98 per share over the past year, down 2.9% from the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over EFSC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EFSC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $166MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $156MQ3 2024: $165MQ4 2024: $167MQ1 2025: $166MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $207MQ4 2025: $194MQ1 2026: $185MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $188M
Q4 2023: $166MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $156MQ3 2024: $165MQ4 2024: $167MQ1 2025: $166MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $207MQ4 2025: $194MQ1 2026: $185MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $188M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$187.8M-9.2%
Q2 2026$182.2M+5.1%
Q1 2026$185.2M+12%
Q4 2025$193.6M+16%
Q3 2025$206.9M+25%
Q2 2025$173.4M+11%
Q1 2025$166M+11%
Q4 2024$167M+0.5%

EFSC's revenue is growing: $188M last quarter, down 9.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over EFSC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EFSC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $40MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $71M
Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $40MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $71M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$71.1M+51%
Q2 2026$67M+14%
Q1 2026$57.5M+61%
Q4 2025$39.8M-21%
Q3 2025$47.1M-47%
Q2 2025$59M-21%
Q1 2025$35.6M+32%
Q4 2024$50.1M-33%

EFSC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

EFSC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 37MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 37MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-337K shares
1 year-2.6%-974K shares
3 years-3.1%-1.2M shares
5 years-1.6%-588K shares
Available history+39%+10.2M shares

EFSC has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

EFSC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

EFSC has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

EFSC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.1Neutral
Stochastic43.9Neutral

EFSC's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

EFSC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricEFSCSector medianRelative
PE13x13x3.8% below
PE %786315 pts above

EFSC has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

EFSC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$60.92.5% above
20 week MA$63.41.6% below
50 week MA$60.13.8% above
100 week MA$57.87.9% above
200 week MA$51.122% above

EFSC has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

EFSC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.1$35.2-27%
2021$35.2$46.5+32%
2022$46.5$49.1+5.6%
2023$49.1$44.7-9.1%
2024$44.7$56.3+26%
2025$56.3$55.5-1.5%
2026 YTD$55.5$62.4+12%

EFSC has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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