EFC
Ellington Financial Inc.
There isn't enough reported data to score EFC yet.
EFC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
EFC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like EFC.
EFC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.1x | $8.26 | -25% |
| Forward | 5.7x | $11.01 | — |
| Current | 6.8x | $11.01 | — |
| Fair | 9.6x | $15.63 | +42% |
| Expensive | 13x | $20.65 | +88% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EFC's PE is 6.8x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
EFC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EFC, but weaker profitability.
EFC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.93 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.62 | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.60 | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.62 | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.19 | -13% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.32 | +1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.22 | +0.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.39 | +121% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.36 | +53% |
EFC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.62 over the past year, against $4.21 in early 2021.
EFC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $117.7M | +42% |
| Q2 2026 | $123.1M | +33% |
| Q1 2026 | $171.3M | +107% |
| Q4 2025 | $78.2M | +8.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $82.8M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $92.5M | +1.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $82.9M | +9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $72M | -15% |
EFC's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $118M last quarter, up 42% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 39% | +7.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 38% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 53% | +16 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.4% | -21 points |
| Q3 2025 | 31% | +7.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 38% | -15 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | -4.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | +8 points |
EFC's operating margin was 39% last quarter, up 7.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EFC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $15.8M | +$306.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$19.1M | +$191.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$10.1M | +$116.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$290.4M | -$148.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$210.5M | -$121.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$126.4M | -$66.9M |
| Q4 2024 | -$140.8M | -$61.8M |
| Q3 2024 | -$141.7M | -$70.8M |
EFC's free cash flow was −$304M over the past year, against −$619M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like EFC.
EFC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.9% | +3.8M shares |
| 1 year | +28% | +28.3M shares |
| 3 years | +91% | +62.4M shares |
| 5 years | +195% | +86.6M shares |
| Available history | +195% | +86.6M shares |
EFC has 131M diluted shares, up 28% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $161,000 |
| Q1 2024 | $524,000 |
EFC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
EFC has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like EFC.
EFC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 23.4 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 2.8 | Oversold |
EFC's weekly RSI is 23 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).
EFC PE vs Real Estate Sector
| Metric | EFC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.8x | 24x | 72% below |
| PE % | 23 | 23 | Same percentile |
EFC is trading at 6.8x earnings, a 72% discount to the Real Estate sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.
EFC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.6 | 4.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $12.7 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.9 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $13.0 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.8 | 14% below |
EFC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.
EFC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.4 | $15.1 | -18% |
| 2021 | $15.1 | $17.0 | +13% |
| 2022 | $17.0 | $13.0 | -24% |
| 2023 | $13.0 | $12.7 | -2% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $12.2 | -4.2% |
| 2025 | $12.2 | $13.8 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.8 | $11.0 | -20% |
EFC has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 20% so far in 2026.