ECX

ECARX Holdings, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score ECX yet.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink, though they disagree widely on how much.

ECX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Under pressure
Unavailable
Unavailable

ECX's profitability is currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ECX PE Valuation

ECX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ECX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ECX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over ECX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

ECX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $0.82 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ECX and RIVN's risk to reward.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ECX and RIVN's risk to reward.

ECX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2021: $-4.58Q4 2022: $-1.19Q4 2023: $-0.42Q4 2024: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.36Q4 2025: $-0.20Forward: $0.61
Q4 2021: $-4.58Q4 2022: $-1.19Q4 2023: $-0.42Q4 2024: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.36Q4 2025: $-0.20Forward: $0.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.61—
Q4 2025-$0.20+$0.22
Q4 2024-$0.42$0.00
Q4 2023-$0.42+$0.77
Q4 2022-$1.19+$3.39

ECX has the edge over RIVN in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

ECX Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2021: $81MQ2 2021: $81MQ3 2021: $127MQ4 2021: $127MQ4 2022: $534MQ4 2023: $700MQ2 2024: $329MQ4 2024: $505MQ2 2025: $323MQ4 2025: $525M
Q1 2021: $81MQ2 2021: $81MQ3 2021: $127MQ4 2021: $127MQ4 2022: $534MQ4 2023: $700MQ2 2024: $329MQ4 2024: $505MQ2 2025: $323MQ4 2025: $525M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$524.6M+3.8%
Q2 2025$323.3M-1.9%
Q4 2024$505.1M-28%
Q4 2023$700.3M+31%
Q4 2022$533.8M+320%

ECX's revenue is growing: $525M last quarter, down 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over ECX in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

ECX Free Cash Flow

Q1 2021: −$252,992Q2 2021: −$89,062Q3 2021: −$12,969Q4 2021: −$46,016Q4 2022: −$80MQ4 2023: −$196MQ2 2024: −$71MQ4 2024: −$11MQ2 2025: −$86MQ4 2025: −$20M
Q1 2021: −$252,992Q2 2021: −$89,062Q3 2021: −$12,969Q4 2021: −$46,016Q4 2022: −$80MQ4 2023: −$196MQ2 2024: −$71MQ4 2024: −$11MQ2 2025: −$86MQ4 2025: −$20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025-$20.1M-$9.3M
Q2 2025-$86.5M-$15.5M
Q4 2024-$10.8M+$185.1M
Q4 2023-$195.9M-$115.9M
Q4 2022-$80.1M-$80M

ECX has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$188M over the past year, against −$276M the year before.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

ECX Total Shares

Q1 2021: 199MQ2 2021: 38MQ3 2021: 38MQ4 2021: 38MQ4 2022: 239MQ4 2023: 337MQ2 2024: 338MQ4 2024: 337MQ2 2025: 337MQ4 2025: 339M
Q1 2021: 199MQ2 2021: 38MQ3 2021: 38MQ4 2021: 38MQ4 2022: 239MQ4 2023: 337MQ2 2024: 338MQ4 2024: 337MQ2 2025: 337MQ4 2025: 339M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.4M shares
1 year+0.4%+1.3M shares

ECX has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

ECX Net Leverage

ECX's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ECX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.6Neutral
Stochastic28.4Neutral

ECX's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

ECX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

ECX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ECX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.886.8% below
20 week MA$1.0018% below
50 week MA$1.2534% below
100 week MA$1.5547% below
200 week MA$2.4767% below

ECX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

ECX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.70$9.71+0.1%
2022$9.71$8.23-15%
2023$8.23$3.16-62%
2024$3.16$1.89-40%
2025$1.89$1.55-18%
2026 YTD$1.55$0.82-47%

ECX has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 47% so far in 2026.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over ECX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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