ECL

Ecolab Inc.

60
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

ECL's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 9.3%, while its operating margin held steady at 17%. At 41x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 40x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

ECL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure

ECL's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

ECL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward34x$304—
Cheap36x$264-13%
Fair40x$293-3.9%
Current41x$304—
Expensive46x$335+10%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ECL's PE is in its fair range at 41x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 34x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ECL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ECL, with profitability holding steady.

ECL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$339.64
Downside-15%$258.55

Calculated from the latest close: $304.41 on Nov 12.

ECL's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −15% against +12%.

ECL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.79Q1 2024: $5.40Q2 2024: $5.96Q3 2024: $7.13Q4 2024: $7.38Q1 2025: $7.36Q2 2025: $7.49Q3 2025: $6.96Q4 2025: $7.28Q1 2026: $7.39Q2 2026: $7.45Q3 2026: $7.35Forward: $8.95
Q4 2023: $4.79Q1 2024: $5.40Q2 2024: $5.96Q3 2024: $7.13Q4 2024: $7.38Q1 2025: $7.36Q2 2025: $7.49Q3 2025: $6.96Q4 2025: $7.28Q1 2026: $7.39Q2 2026: $7.45Q3 2026: $7.35Forward: $8.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.95+22%
Q3 2026$7.35+5.6%
Q2 2026$7.45-0.5%
Q1 2026$7.39+0.4%
Q4 2025$7.28-1.4%
Q3 2025$6.96-2.4%
Q2 2025$7.49+26%
Q1 2025$7.36+36%
Q4 2024$7.38+54%

ECL earned $7.35 per share over the past year, up 5.6% from the year before.

ECL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $4BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.2BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.1BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $4.7B
Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $4BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.2BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.1BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $4.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.7B+13%
Q2 2026$4.4B+9.7%
Q1 2026$4.1B+10%
Q4 2025$4.2B+4.8%
Q3 2025$4.2B+4.2%
Q2 2025$4B+1%
Q1 2025$3.7B-1.5%
Q4 2024$4B+1.7%

ECL's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $4.7B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

ECL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $590MQ1 2024: $448MQ2 2024: $414MQ3 2024: $550MQ4 2024: $407MQ1 2025: $132MQ2 2025: $485MQ3 2025: $530MQ4 2025: $758MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $489MQ3 2026: $450M
Q4 2023: $590MQ1 2024: $448MQ2 2024: $414MQ3 2024: $550MQ4 2024: $407MQ1 2025: $132MQ2 2025: $485MQ3 2025: $530MQ4 2025: $758MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $489MQ3 2026: $450M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$450.3M-15%
Q2 2026$489.4M+0.9%
Q1 2026$97.4M-26%
Q4 2025$758M+86%
Q3 2025$529.7M-3.7%
Q2 2025$485.1M+17%
Q1 2025$131.5M-71%
Q4 2024$407M-31%

ECL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.8B over the past year, up 16% from the year before.

ECL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 287MQ1 2024: 288MQ2 2024: 287MQ3 2024: 286MQ4 2024: 286MQ1 2025: 285MQ2 2025: 285MQ3 2025: 285MQ4 2025: 285MQ1 2026: 284MQ2 2026: 282MQ3 2026: 282M
Q4 2023: 287MQ1 2024: 288MQ2 2024: 287MQ3 2024: 286MQ4 2024: 286MQ1 2025: 285MQ2 2025: 285MQ3 2025: 285MQ4 2025: 285MQ1 2026: 284MQ2 2026: 282MQ3 2026: 282M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-100K shares
1 year-1.2%-3.3M shares
3 years-1.7%-4.8M shares
5 years-2.5%-7.1M shares
Available history-3.6%-10.5M shares

ECL has 282M diluted shares, down 1.2% from a year ago, with $1.1B in buybacks over the past year.

ECL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.1xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 3.1x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.1xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 3.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.1xElevated
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20262.1xModerate
Q4 20252.0xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20251.7xHealthy
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

ECL's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

ECL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.0Neutral
Stochastic76.4Neutral

ECL's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

ECL PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricECLSector medianRelative
PE41x19x123% above
PE %584018 pts above

ECL is trading at 41x earnings, a 123% premium to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

ECL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$290.14.9% above
20 week MA$282.67.7% above
50 week MA$275.710% above
100 week MA$267.814% above
200 week MA$236.029% above

ECL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 29% above its 200-week average.

ECL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$191.7$216.1+13%
2021$216.1$228.2+5.6%
2022$228.2$144.5-37%
2023$144.5$198.4+37%
2024$198.4$237.8+20%
2025$237.8$265.8+12%
2026 YTD$265.8$304.4+15%

ECL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

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