EBC
Eastern Bankshares, Inc.
EBC has the edge over MS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
EBC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
EBC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like EBC.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
EBC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.7x | $13.54 | -40% |
| Forward | 11x | $22.76 | — |
| Current | 13x | $22.76 | — |
| Fair | 16x | $28.79 | +27% |
| Expensive | 48x | $84.82 | +273% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBC's PE is in its fair range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS has the edge over EBC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBC, with profitability improving.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.
EBC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.10 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.76 | +633% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.78 | +$2.10 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.80 | +$2.46 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.43 | -35% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.24 | -90% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.32 | -112% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.66 | -123% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.66 | -54% |
EBC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.76 over the past year, against $2.87 in early 2024.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over EBC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EBC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $306.6M | +27% |
| Q2 2026 | $309.5M | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $288.2M | +826% |
| Q4 2025 | $283.5M | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $241.5M | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $244.9M | +59% |
| Q1 2025 | $31.1M | -80% |
| Q4 2024 | $216.5M | +35% |
EBC's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $307M last quarter, up 27% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 46% | +6.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 44% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 29% | +620 points |
| Q4 2025 | 31% | -1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 39% | +41 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | +16 points |
| Q1 2025 | -591% | -622 points |
| Q4 2024 | 33% | +12 points |
EBC has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EBC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $178.5M | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $149.8M | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | -$12.5M | -128% |
| Q4 2025 | $99.8M | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $148.4M | +39% |
| Q2 2025 | $119.3M | +137% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.5M | +51% |
| Q4 2024 | $83.4M | +71% |
EBC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
EBC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -2.1M shares |
| 1 year | +8.9% | +17.7M shares |
| 3 years | +34% | +54.7M shares |
| 5 years | +26% | +44.9M shares |
| Available history | +16% | +30.4M shares |
EBC has 217M diluted shares, up 8.9% from a year ago, despite $259M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $57.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $73.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $73.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $54.7M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $5.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $46.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $15.1M |
EBC spent $259M buying back its own shares over the past year, about four times what it spent the year before.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over EBC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
EBC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -5.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
EBC has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
EBC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 66.8 | Neutral |
EBC's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
EBC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | EBC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 0.7% below |
| PE % | 42 | 61 | 19 pts below |
EBC has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
EBC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $22.0 | 3.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $22.3 | 2% above |
| 50 week MA | $20.9 | 9% above |
| 100 week MA | $18.8 | 21% above |
| 200 week MA | $16.4 | 39% above |
EBC has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
EBC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.9 | $16.8 | +41% |
| 2021 | $16.8 | $20.2 | +20% |
| 2022 | $20.2 | $17.1 | -15% |
| 2023 | $17.1 | $14.2 | -17% |
| 2024 | $14.2 | $17.2 | +21% |
| 2025 | $17.2 | $18.8 | +9.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $18.8 | $22.8 | +21% |
EBC has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.