EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

WING

Wingstop Inc.

70
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

WING has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

WING Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Weak

WING's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

WING PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x102x153x203x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x102x153x203x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward35x$159—
Current37x$159—
Cheap45x$192+20%
Fair104x$445+180%
Expensive156x$670+321%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WING has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

WING Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

WING has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails WING on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WING Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+53%$243.32
Downside-28%$114.64

Calculated from the latest close: $159.26 on Nov 12.

WING has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

WING Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.35Q1 2024: $2.81Q2 2024: $3.20Q3 2024: $3.43Q4 2024: $3.70Q1 2025: $5.96Q2 2025: $5.99Q3 2025: $6.13Q4 2025: $6.21Q1 2026: $4.05Q2 2026: $4.24Q3 2026: $4.29Forward: $4.59
Q4 2023: $2.35Q1 2024: $2.81Q2 2024: $3.20Q3 2024: $3.43Q4 2024: $3.70Q1 2025: $5.96Q2 2025: $5.99Q3 2025: $6.13Q4 2025: $6.21Q1 2026: $4.05Q2 2026: $4.24Q3 2026: $4.29Forward: $4.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.59+7.1%
Q3 2026$4.29-30%
Q2 2026$4.24-29%
Q1 2026$4.05-32%
Q4 2025$6.21+68%
Q3 2025$6.13+79%
Q2 2025$5.99+87%
Q1 2025$5.96+112%
Q4 2024$3.70+57%

WING has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over WING on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

WING Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $146MQ2 2024: $156MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $162MQ1 2025: $171MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $176MQ4 2025: $176MQ1 2026: $184MQ2 2026: $186MQ3 2026: $185M
Q4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $146MQ2 2024: $156MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $162MQ1 2025: $171MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $176MQ4 2025: $176MQ1 2026: $184MQ2 2026: $186MQ3 2026: $185M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$185.1M+5.3%
Q2 2026$185.6M+6.4%
Q1 2026$183.7M+7.4%
Q4 2025$175.7M+8.6%
Q3 2025$175.7M+8.1%
Q2 2025$174.3M+12%
Q1 2025$171.1M+17%
Q4 2024$161.8M+27%

WING's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $185M last quarter, up 5.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over WING on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WING Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: $50M
Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: $50M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$49.7M-19%
Q2 2026-$11.3M-$3.5M
Q1 2026$43.7M+153%
Q4 2025$34.5M+$43.1M
Q3 2025$61.7M+12%
Q2 2025-$7.8M-130%
Q1 2025$17.3M-48%
Q4 2024-$8.6M-134%

WING generated $117M in free cash flow over the past year, up 86% from the year before.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

WING Total Shares

Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-115K shares
1 year-3.1%-854K shares
3 years-9%-2.7M shares
5 years-9.4%-2.8M shares
Available history-8.7%-2.6M shares

WING has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY has the edge over WING on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WING Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 3.9xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 4.9xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 4.8x
Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 3.9xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 4.9xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 4.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.8xHigh
Q2 20264.8xHigh
Q1 20265.0xHigh
Q4 20255.0xHigh
Q3 20254.9xHigh
Q2 20255.2xHigh
Q1 20255.2xHigh
Q4 20244.8xHigh

WING's net debt is about 4.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

WING Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic87.0Overbought

WING's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY has the edge over WING on valuation relative to its sector.

WING PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricWINGSector medianRelative
PE37x18x106% above
PE %84739 pts below

WING is trading at 37x earnings, a 106% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over WING on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WING Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$131.521% above
20 week MA$129.623% above
50 week MA$175.99.5% below
100 week MA$228.630% below
200 week MA$251.237% below

WING has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 37% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over WING on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WING Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$86.2$140.8+63%
2021$140.8$173.0+23%
2022$173.0$145.7-16%
2023$145.7$256.6+76%
2024$256.6$285.4+11%
2025$285.4$256.2-10%
2026 YTD$256.2$159.3-38%

WING is down 38% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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