EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

VSXY

Victoria's Secret & Company

60
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

VSXY has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

VSXY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

VSXY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

VSXY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$30.32-71%
Fair14x$60.95-42%
Forward20x$105—
Current23x$105—
Expensive24x$108+3.3%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VSXY has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

VSXY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

VSXY has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails VSXY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VSXY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+71%$178.92
Downside-28%$75.58

Calculated from the latest close: $104.63 on Nov 12.

VSXY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

VSXY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.16Q1 2024: $1.39Q2 2024: $1.33Q3 2024: $1.75Q4 2024: $1.96Q1 2025: $2.05Q2 2025: $2.08Q3 2025: $1.88Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $1.93Q2 2026: $2.51Q3 2026: $4.49Forward: $5.24
Q4 2023: $1.16Q1 2024: $1.39Q2 2024: $1.33Q3 2024: $1.75Q4 2024: $1.96Q1 2025: $2.05Q2 2025: $2.08Q3 2025: $1.88Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $1.93Q2 2026: $2.51Q3 2026: $4.49Forward: $5.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.24+17%
Q3 2026$4.49+139%
Q2 2026$2.51+21%
Q1 2026$1.93-5.9%
Q4 2025$2.13+8.7%
Q3 2025$1.88+7.4%
Q2 2025$2.08+56%
Q1 2025$2.05+47%
Q4 2024$1.96+69%

VSXY has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over VSXY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VSXY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+10%
Q2 2026$1.6B+15%
Q1 2026$2.3B+7.7%
Q4 2025$1.5B+9.3%
Q3 2025$1.5B+3%
Q2 2025$1.4B-0.4%
Q1 2025$2.1B+1.1%
Q4 2024$1.3B+6.5%

VSXY's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1.6B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.

VSXY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$261MQ1 2024: $557MQ2 2024: −$155MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: −$299MQ1 2025: $646MQ2 2025: −$193MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: −$232MQ1 2026: $649MQ2 2026: −$191MQ3 2026: $328M
Q4 2023: −$261MQ1 2024: $557MQ2 2024: −$155MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: −$299MQ1 2025: $646MQ2 2025: −$193MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: −$232MQ1 2026: $649MQ2 2026: −$191MQ3 2026: $328M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$328M+273%
Q2 2026-$191M+$2M
Q1 2026$649M+0.5%
Q4 2025-$232M+$67M
Q3 2025$88M+60%
Q2 2025-$193M-$38M
Q1 2025$646M+16%
Q4 2024-$299M-$38M

VSXY has the edge over EBAY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over VSXY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VSXY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 77MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
Q4 2023: 77MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-1M shares
1 year+2.4%+2M shares
3 years+9.1%+7M shares
5 years-4.9%-4.4M shares

VSXY has 84M diluted shares, up 2.4% from a year ago.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

VSXY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20242.2xModerate

VSXY has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

VSXY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.4Neutral
Stochastic83.0Overbought

VSXY's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

VSXY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVSXYSector medianRelative
PE23x18x29% above
PE %825527 pts above

VSXY has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% above its 200-week average.

VSXY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$93.112% above
20 week MA$87.220% above
50 week MA$69.251% above
100 week MA$47.9119% above
200 week MA$36.4188% above

VSXY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 188% above its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 41% so far in 2026.

VSXY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$42.1$49.1+17%
2022$49.1$40.4-18%
2023$40.4$26.5-34%
2024$26.5$42.3+59%
2025$42.3$53.8+27%
2026 YTD$53.8$104.6+94%

VSXY has the edge over EBAY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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