EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over VIPS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

VIPS

Vipshop Holdings Limited

52
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VIPS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

VIPS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

VIPS's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

VIPS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.0x18x27x36x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.0x18x27x36x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current4.1x$12.94—
Cheap6.8x$21.18+64%
Fair9.1x$28.63+121%
Expensive18x$57.81+347%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VIPS has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

VIPS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VIPS's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails VIPS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VIPS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$16.03
Downside-19%$10.46

Calculated from the latest close: $12.94 on Nov 12.

VIPS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over VIPS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VIPS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.91Q4 2023: $2.17Q1 2024: $2.32Q2 2024: $2.28Q3 2024: $2.25Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.99Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $2.24Q2 2026: $3.13
Q3 2023: $1.91Q4 2023: $2.17Q1 2024: $2.32Q2 2024: $2.28Q3 2024: $2.25Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.99Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $2.24Q2 2026: $3.13
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.13+57%
Q1 2026$2.24+7.7%
Q4 2025$2.13-0.9%
Q3 2025$2.06-8.4%
Q2 2025$1.99-13%
Q1 2025$2.08-10%
Q4 2024$2.15-0.9%
Q3 2024$2.25+18%

VIPS earned $3.13 per share over the past year, up 57% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over VIPS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VIPS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $3.4BQ4 2023: $5.2BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.7B
Q3 2023: $3.4BQ4 2023: $5.2BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3.7B-3.9%
Q1 2026$4B+0.6%
Q4 2025$4.9B-2.3%
Q3 2025$3.2B+3.4%
Q2 2025$3.9B-4%
Q1 2025$3.9B-5%
Q4 2024$5B-4.2%
Q3 2024$3.1B-9.2%

VIPS's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.7B last quarter, down 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over VIPS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VIPS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

VIPS's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since mid-2020: $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

VIPS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 552MQ4 2023: 552MQ1 2024: 555MQ2 2024: 554MQ3 2024: 554MQ4 2024: 522MQ1 2025: 522MQ2 2025: 512MQ3 2025: 505MQ4 2025: 505MQ1 2026: 493MQ2 2026: 488M
Q3 2023: 552MQ4 2023: 552MQ1 2024: 555MQ2 2024: 554MQ3 2024: 554MQ4 2024: 522MQ1 2025: 522MQ2 2025: 512MQ3 2025: 505MQ4 2025: 505MQ1 2026: 493MQ2 2026: 488M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-4.6M shares
1 year-4.6%-23.7M shares
3 years-13%-71M shares
5 years-30%-213M shares
Available history-28%-187M shares

VIPS has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

VIPS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.7xQ4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -1.8xQ2 2024: -1.5xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.2xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.1x
Q3 2023: -1.7xQ4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -1.8xQ2 2024: -1.5xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.2xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.3xNet Cash

VIPS has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

VIPS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.1Neutral
Stochastic32.5Neutral

VIPS's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

VIPS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVIPSSector medianRelative
PE4.1x18x77% below
PE %14746 pts below

VIPS has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over VIPS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VIPS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.80.8% above
20 week MA$13.54.1% below
50 week MA$15.114% below
100 week MA$15.516% below
200 week MA$15.416% below

VIPS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 16% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over VIPS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VIPS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.5$26.3+81%
2021$26.3$8.46-68%
2022$8.46$13.5+59%
2023$13.5$17.8+32%
2024$17.8$13.3-25%
2025$13.3$19.5+46%
2026 YTD$19.5$12.9-34%

VIPS is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key