EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over UNH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over UNH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has 902M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $5B in buybacks over the past year.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over UNH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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