EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TRS
TriMas Corporation
TRS has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
TRS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TRS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
TRS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.6x | $37.62 | — |
| Cheap | 12x | $286 | +661% |
| Forward | 19x | $37.62 | — |
| Fair | 21x | $504 | +1238% |
| Expensive | 33x | $795 | +2012% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TRS has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
TRS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect TRS's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.
TRS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | -92% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.03 | +2541% |
| Q1 2026 | $24.07 | +3026% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.97 | +403% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.08 | +69% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.91 | -7.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.77 | -21% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.59 | -39% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.64 | -48% |
TRS earned $24.03 per share over the past year, more than ten times what it earned the year before.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over TRS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over TRS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TRS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $174.6M | -36% |
| Q1 2026 | $168.3M | -30% |
| Q4 2025 | $155.5M | -32% |
| Q3 2025 | $269.3M | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $274.8M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $241.7M | +6.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $228.1M | +8.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $229.4M | -2.5% |
TRS's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $175M last quarter, down 36% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 6.2% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.1% | -4.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -16% | -19 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.2% | +2.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.9% | +2.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.8% | -1.8 points |
| Q3 2024 | 3.6% | -6.5 points |
TRS's operating margin was 6.2% last quarter, down 3.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY has the edge over TRS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
TRS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$45M | -440% |
| Q1 2026 | -$24.6M | -$20.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $36.8M | +204% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.8M | +125% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.2M | +76% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.8M | +$13.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $12.1M | +6.7% |
| Q3 2024 | $10.2M | -52% |
TRS's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$10M over the past year.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
TRS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3.2% | -1.2M shares |
| 1 year | -12% | -4.7M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -5.4M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -7.1M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -9.2M shares |
TRS has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $18.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $54.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $101.1M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $1.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $460,000 |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $2.4M |
TRS spent $175M buying back its own shares over the past year, more than ten times what it spent the year before.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.
TRS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -14.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -11.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 3.6x | Elevated |
TRS has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
TRS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.0 | Neutral |
TRS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
TRS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TRS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 1.6x | 18x | 91% below |
| PE % | 0 | 47 | 47 pts below |
TRS has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY has the edge over TRS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
TRS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $38.6 | 2.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $39.4 | 4.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $38.2 | 1.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $33.6 | 12% above |
| 200 week MA | $29.9 | 26% above |
TRS has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 26% above its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over TRS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TRS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $31.2 | $32.0 | +2.6% |
| 2021 | $32.0 | $34.8 | +8.5% |
| 2022 | $34.8 | $27.8 | -20% |
| 2023 | $27.8 | $25.3 | -8.7% |
| 2024 | $25.3 | $24.6 | -3% |
| 2025 | $24.6 | $36.1 | +47% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.1 | $37.6 | +4.1% |
TRS has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 4.1% so far in 2026.