EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over THCH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

THCH

TH International Limited

38
Fundamentals32/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

THCH offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

THCH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

THCH's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

THCH PE Valuation

THCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

EBAY has the edge over THCH on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

THCH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect THCH's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails THCH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

THCH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$1.92
Downside-35%$0.80

Calculated from the latest close: $1.24 on Nov 12.

THCH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over THCH on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

THCH Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-4.75Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.01Q2 2024: $-3.10Q3 2024: $-2.75Q4 2024: $-1.91Q1 2025: $-1.50Q2 2025: $-1.63Q3 2025: $-1.56Q4 2025: $-1.99Q1 2026: $-2.23Q2 2026: $-2.33
Q3 2023: $-4.75Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.01Q2 2024: $-3.10Q3 2024: $-2.75Q4 2024: $-1.91Q1 2025: $-1.50Q2 2025: $-1.63Q3 2025: $-1.56Q4 2025: $-1.99Q1 2026: $-2.23Q2 2026: $-2.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$2.33-$0.70
Q1 2026-$2.23-$0.73
Q4 2025-$1.99-$0.08
Q3 2025-$1.56+$1.19
Q2 2025-$1.63+$1.47
Q1 2025-$1.50+$2.51
Q4 2024-$1.91+$2.62
Q3 2024-$2.75+$2.00

THCH is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.33 per share over the past year, against $5.40 at its worst in mid-2023.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over THCH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

THCH Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $65MQ4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $41M
Q3 2023: $65MQ4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $41M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.9M-22%
Q1 2026$38.3M-15%
Q4 2025$45.7M-8.5%
Q3 2025$53.7M-0.4%
Q2 2025$52.4M-4.9%
Q1 2025$45.1M-9.5%
Q4 2024$49.9M-15%
Q3 2024$54M-17%

THCH's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $41M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over THCH on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

THCH Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: −$56MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$32,866Q2 2025: −$176,334Q3 2025: −$257,072Q4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $5M
Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: −$56MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$32,866Q2 2025: −$176,334Q3 2025: −$257,072Q4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$5.1M+$5.3M
Q1 2026-$3.5M-$3.5M
Q4 2025-$11.3M-$6.5M
Q3 2025-$257.1K+$1.7M
Q2 2025-$176.3K-104%
Q1 2025-$32.9K+$4M
Q4 2024-$4.7M+$51.2M
Q3 2024-$2M+$2.6M

THCH has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$10M over the past year, against −$7M the year before.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over THCH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

THCH Total Shares

Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33M
Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%-4.3K shares
3 years+6.7%+2M shares
5 years+21%+5.6M shares
Available history+21%+5.6M shares

THCH has 33M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

THCH Net Leverage

THCH's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

THCH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.7Neutral
Stochastic33.1Neutral

THCH's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

THCH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

THCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over THCH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

THCH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.176% above
20 week MA$1.4011% below
50 week MA$1.7931% below
100 week MA$2.3247% below
200 week MA$6.0780% below

THCH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 80% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over THCH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

THCH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$49.1$48.9-0.4%
2022$48.9$15.7-68%
2023$15.7$8.75-44%
2024$8.75$3.73-57%
2025$3.73$2.19-41%
2026 YTD$2.19$1.24-43%

THCH has finished every year since 2021 lower, and it's down 43% so far in 2026.

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