EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over STRT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

STRT

Strattec Security Corporation

43
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

STRT offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

STRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

STRT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

STRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE144x288x432x576x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE144x288x432x576x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$43.33-31%
Forward13x$62.38—
Fair14x$56.31-9.7%
Current15x$62.38—
Expensive28x$116+85%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STRT has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

EBAY has the edge over STRT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

STRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Decline
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect STRT's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than STRT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

STRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$81.47
Downside-34%$41.28

Calculated from the latest close: $62.38 on Nov 12.

STRT trails EBAY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

STRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $0.99Q2 2024: $4.07Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $4.00Q1 2025: $4.95Q2 2025: $4.58Q3 2025: $5.73Q4 2025: $6.61Q1 2026: $6.07Q2 2026: $5.00Q3 2026: $4.12Forward: $4.75
Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $0.99Q2 2024: $4.07Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $4.00Q1 2025: $4.95Q2 2025: $4.58Q3 2025: $5.73Q4 2025: $6.61Q1 2026: $6.07Q2 2026: $5.00Q3 2026: $4.12Forward: $4.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.75+15%
Q3 2026$4.12-28%
Q2 2026$5.00+9.2%
Q1 2026$6.07+23%
Q4 2025$6.61+65%
Q3 2025$5.73+45%
Q2 2025$4.58+13%
Q1 2025$4.95+400%
Q4 2024$4.00+7900%

STRT has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over STRT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

STRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $143MQ3 2024: $139MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $144MQ2 2025: $152MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: $152MQ3 2026: $147M
Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $143MQ3 2024: $139MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $144MQ2 2025: $152MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: $152MQ3 2026: $147M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$147.2M-3.4%
Q2 2026$151.8M-0.1%
Q1 2026$137.6M-4.5%
Q4 2025$137.5M+5.9%
Q3 2025$152.4M+9.6%
Q2 2025$152M+6.3%
Q1 2025$144.1M+2.4%
Q4 2024$129.9M+9.6%

STRT's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $147M last quarter, down 3.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.

STRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.6M-2.2%
Q2 2026$8.2M-70%
Q1 2026$9.7M-50%
Q4 2025$11.3M+32%
Q3 2025$9.8M+5.8%
Q2 2025$27.2M+72%
Q1 2025$19.6M+$21.5M
Q4 2024$8.5M+$13M

STRT generated $39M in free cash flow over the past year, down 40% from the year before.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over STRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

STRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 4MQ4 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 4MQ2 2026: 4MQ3 2026: 4M
Q4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 4MQ4 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 4MQ2 2026: 4MQ3 2026: 4M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-69K shares
1 year-1.8%-74K shares
3 years+2%+79K shares
5 years+4.1%+160K shares
Available history+8.3%+312K shares

STRT has 4M diluted shares, down 1.8% from a year ago.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

STRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -2.0xQ3 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.4xQ2 2026: -2.6xQ3 2026: -3.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -2.0xQ3 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.4xQ2 2026: -2.6xQ3 2026: -3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash

STRT has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

STRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.2Neutral
Stochastic8.9Oversold

STRT's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

STRT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSTRTSector medianRelative
PE15x18x16% below
PE %644717 pts above

STRT has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over STRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

STRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$63.11.2% below
20 week MA$72.914% below
50 week MA$76.619% below
100 week MA$65.44.7% below
200 week MA$45.637% above

STRT has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 37% above its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over STRT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

STRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.0$51.4+134%
2021$51.4$37.4-27%
2022$37.4$20.4-45%
2023$20.4$25.3+24%
2024$25.3$41.3+63%
2025$41.3$79.5+92%
2026 YTD$79.5$62.4-22%

STRT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +134% in 2020 to −45% in 2022. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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