EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over SON overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SON

Sonoco Products Company

52
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SON offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

SON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

SON's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

SON PE Valuation

SON has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

EBAY has the edge over SON on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

SON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SON's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails SON on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$61.25
Downside-20%$38.76

Calculated from the latest close: $48.69 on Nov 12.

SON has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over SON on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.80Q1 2024: $3.96Q2 2024: $3.72Q3 2024: $2.91Q4 2024: $1.65Q1 2025: $1.54Q2 2025: $5.58Q3 2025: $6.30Q4 2025: $10.07Q1 2026: $10.20Q2 2026: $6.29Q3 2026: $-2.30Forward: $5.61
Q4 2023: $4.80Q1 2024: $3.96Q2 2024: $3.72Q3 2024: $2.91Q4 2024: $1.65Q1 2025: $1.54Q2 2025: $5.58Q3 2025: $6.30Q4 2025: $10.07Q1 2026: $10.20Q2 2026: $6.29Q3 2026: $-2.30Forward: $5.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.61—
Q3 2026-$2.30-137%
Q2 2026$6.29+13%
Q1 2026$10.20+562%
Q4 2025$10.07+510%
Q3 2025$6.30+116%
Q2 2025$5.58+50%
Q1 2025$1.54-61%
Q4 2024$1.65-66%

SON has swung to a loss: it lost $2.30 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over SON on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B-4.2%
Q2 2026$1.9B-1.3%
Q1 2026$1.7B-1.9%
Q4 2025$1.8B+30%
Q3 2025$2.1B+27%
Q2 2025$1.9B+18%
Q1 2025$1.7B+4.4%
Q4 2024$1.4B-17%

SON's revenue has held roughly level: $2B last quarter, down 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.

SON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $158MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $71MQ4 2024: $274MQ1 2025: −$301MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $226MQ4 2025: $322MQ1 2026: −$430MQ2 2026: $237MQ3 2026: $222M
Q4 2023: $158MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $71MQ4 2024: $274MQ1 2025: −$301MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $226MQ4 2025: $322MQ1 2026: −$430MQ2 2026: $237MQ3 2026: $222M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$221.9M-1.6%
Q2 2026$236.9M+140%
Q1 2026-$430M-$129.3M
Q4 2025$322.3M+17%
Q3 2025$225.6M+220%
Q2 2025$98.6M+516%
Q1 2025-$300.8M-477%
Q4 2024$274.3M+74%

SON still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $351M over the past year.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over SON on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SON Total Shares

Q4 2023: 99MQ1 2024: 99MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 99MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 100MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 100MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
Q4 2023: 99MQ1 2024: 99MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 99MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 100MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 100MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-279K shares
1 year-0.1%-146K shares
3 years+0.6%+590K shares
5 years+0.1%+77K shares
Available history-1.7%-1.7M shares

SON has 100M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY has the edge over SON on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SON Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 9.3xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 5.3xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 5.6x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 9.3xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 5.3xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 5.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.6xHigh
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20255.3xHigh
Q2 20256.2xHigh
Q1 20259.3xHigh
Q4 20249.4xHigh

SON's net debt is about 5.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.3 years a year ago.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

SON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.6Neutral
Stochastic22.6Neutral

SON's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

SON PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSONSector medianRelative
PE7.9x18x56% below
PE %154732 pts below

SON has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over SON on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$49.51.6% below
20 week MA$53.18.2% below
50 week MA$51.35% below
100 week MA$48.30.9% above
200 week MA$52.36.8% below

SON's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 6.8% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over SON on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.3$59.4-3.1%
2021$59.4$55.5-6.6%
2022$55.5$60.4+8.9%
2023$60.4$55.9-7.5%
2024$55.9$48.9-12%
2025$48.9$43.5-11%
2026 YTD$43.5$48.7+12%

SON has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 12% so far in 2026.

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