EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SHAK
Shake Shack Inc.
SHAK has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
SHAK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
SHAK's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
SHAK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 71x | $72.68 | — |
| Cheap | 75x | $77.60 | +6.8% |
| Fair | 153x | $158 | +117% |
| Expensive | 505x | $520 | +616% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SHAK has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
SHAK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for SHAK to show an outlook.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.
SHAK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.03 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.94 | +100% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.98 | +238% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.09 | +354% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.03 | +442% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.47 | -27% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.29 | -49% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.24 | -50% |
SHAK earned $1.03 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3.2B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over SHAK on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SHAK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $423.3M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $417.6M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $366.7M | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $400.5M | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $367.4M | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $356.5M | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $320.9M | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $328.7M | +15% |
SHAK has the edge over EBAY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.1% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5% | -1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7% | -1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.7% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.3% | +2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.9% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1% | +3.6 points |
SHAK's operating margin was 5.1% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY has the edge over SHAK on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SHAK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.1M | -45% |
| Q2 2026 | -$736K | -103% |
| Q1 2026 | -$38.7M | -2170% |
| Q4 2025 | $4M | -62% |
| Q3 2025 | $23.7M | +237% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.9M | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9M | +$4.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4M | +23% |
SHAK's free cash flow was −$22M over the past year, against $63M the year before.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over SHAK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
SHAK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +44K shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +36K shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -2.1M shares |
| 5 years | +7.1% | +2.8M shares |
| Available history | +30% | +9.7M shares |
SHAK has 42M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.
SHAK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
SHAK has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
SHAK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 75.5 | Neutral |
SHAK's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY has the edge over SHAK on valuation relative to its sector.
SHAK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SHAK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 71x | 18x | 292% above |
| PE % | 11 | 47 | 36 pts below |
SHAK is trading at 71x earnings, a 292% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY has the edge over SHAK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SHAK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $66.7 | 9% above |
| 20 week MA | $65.3 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $75.9 | 4.3% below |
| 100 week MA | $92.0 | 21% below |
| 200 week MA | $86.9 | 16% below |
SHAK has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 16% below its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over SHAK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SHAK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.5 | $87.8 | +45% |
| 2021 | $87.8 | $74.5 | -15% |
| 2022 | $74.5 | $44.9 | -40% |
| 2023 | $44.9 | $74.1 | +65% |
| 2024 | $74.1 | $132.6 | +79% |
| 2025 | $132.6 | $83.8 | -37% |
| 2026 YTD | $83.8 | $72.7 | -13% |
SHAK has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 13% so far in 2026.