EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has a slight edge over RRGB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
RRGB
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.
RRGB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
RRGB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure |
RRGB's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
RRGB PE Valuation
RRGB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
RRGB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect RRGB's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY has the edge over RRGB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RRGB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$1.69 | +$1.74 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.50 | +$2.75 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.31 | +$3.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.26 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.43 | -$0.82 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.25 | -$2.49 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.93 | -$3.59 |
| Q3 2024 | -$3.29 | -$0.03 |
RRGB is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.69 per share over the past year, against $19.29 at its worst in late 2020.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over RRGB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over RRGB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RRGB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $277.6M | -2.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $378.3M | -3.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $269M | -5.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $265.1M | -3.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $283.7M | -5.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $392.4M | +1% |
| Q4 2024 | $285.2M | -7.7% |
| Q3 2024 | $274.6M | -1.1% |
RRGB's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $278M last quarter, down 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.3% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.5% | +10 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4.6% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.5% | +5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -12% | -9.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | -4.7% | -4 points |
RRGB's operating margin was 2.3% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY has the edge over RRGB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RRGB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.7M | -20% |
| Q2 2026 | $268K | -96% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.3M | +$6.7M |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.1M | +$7.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $3.4M | +$8.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $7.6M | +39% |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4M | +$29.5M |
| Q3 2024 | -$18M | -$5.8M |
RRGB's free cash flow was −$2M over the past year, against −$8M the year before.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over RRGB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
RRGB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +21% | +3.8M shares |
| 1 year | +16% | +2.9M shares |
| 3 years | +34% | +5.6M shares |
| 5 years | +40% | +6.2M shares |
| Available history | +69% | +8.9M shares |
RRGB has 22M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | $5M |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY has the edge over RRGB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
RRGB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 6.0x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 10.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 32.5x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 5.1x | High |
RRGB's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.4 years a year ago.
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
RRGB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.4 | Neutral |
RRGB's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RRGB PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RRGB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% above its 200-week average.
RRGB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.42 | 4.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.23 | 7.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $5.78 | 53% above |
| 100 week MA | $5.49 | 61% above |
| 200 week MA | $7.27 | 21% above |
RRGB has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 21% above its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 41% so far in 2026.
RRGB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $31.0 | $20.1 | -35% |
| 2021 | $20.1 | $17.2 | -15% |
| 2022 | $17.2 | $5.70 | -67% |
| 2023 | $5.70 | $12.5 | +119% |
| 2024 | $12.5 | $5.39 | -57% |
| 2025 | $5.39 | $4.31 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.31 | $8.83 | +105% |
RRGB has the edge over EBAY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.