EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.
RCL has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
RCL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
RCL's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
RCL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $276 | -14% |
| Forward | 16x | $322 | — |
| Fair | 19x | $327 | +1.6% |
| Current | 19x | $322 | — |
| Expensive | 25x | $427 | +33% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RCL has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
RCL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
RCL has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.
RCL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $19.91 | +18% |
| Q3 2026 | $16.89 | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.18 | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.39 | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.61 | +43% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.12 | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.59 | +47% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.29 | +57% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.94 | +73% |
RCL has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over RCL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY's operating margin was 19% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RCL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.6B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +6.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.5B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.3B | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.1B | +5.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B | +10% |
| Q1 2025 | $4B | +7.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.8B | +13% |
RCL's revenue has grown year over year for 21 quarters in a row: $5.6B last quarter, up 8.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 33% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 27% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 26% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 22% | +5.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 29% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | -0.5 points |
RCL has the edge over EBAY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.
RCL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $937M | +$1.9B |
| Q2 2026 | -$877M | -196% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $116M | -87% |
| Q3 2025 | -$989M | -276% |
| Q2 2025 | $910M | +$1.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $915M | +$2.4B |
RCL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $1.5B over the past year.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY has the edge over RCL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
RCL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.5x | Elevated |
RCL's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.2 years a year ago.
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
RCL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 83.5 | Overbought |
RCL's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RCL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | RCL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 18x | 5.8% above |
| PE % | 46 | 47 | 1 pt below |
RCL has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% above its 200-week average.
RCL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $289.2 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $288.1 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $287.5 | 12% above |
| 100 week MA | $279.3 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $201.8 | 60% above |
RCL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 60% above its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over RCL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RCL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $133.3 | $70.7 | -47% |
| 2021 | $70.7 | $79.5 | +13% |
| 2022 | $79.5 | $49.8 | -37% |
| 2023 | $49.8 | $129.5 | +160% |
| 2024 | $129.5 | $232.7 | +80% |
| 2025 | $232.7 | $285.7 | +23% |
| 2026 YTD | $285.7 | $322.0 | +13% |
RCL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +160% in 2023 to −47% in 2020. It's up 13% so far in 2026.