EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RCL

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

RCL has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

RCL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Stable
Under pressure

RCL's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

RCL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$276-14%
Forward16x$322—
Fair19x$327+1.6%
Current19x$322—
Expensive25x$427+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RCL has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

RCL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

RCL has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails RCL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RCL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$434.95
Downside-22%$252.54

Calculated from the latest close: $321.99 on Nov 12.

RCL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

RCL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.31Q1 2024: $7.85Q2 2024: $9.26Q3 2024: $9.82Q4 2024: $10.94Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $13.59Q3 2025: $15.12Q4 2025: $15.61Q1 2026: $16.39Q2 2026: $16.18Q3 2026: $16.89Forward: $19.91
Q4 2023: $6.31Q1 2024: $7.85Q2 2024: $9.26Q3 2024: $9.82Q4 2024: $10.94Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $13.59Q3 2025: $15.12Q4 2025: $15.61Q1 2026: $16.39Q2 2026: $16.18Q3 2026: $16.89Forward: $19.91
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.91+18%
Q3 2026$16.89+12%
Q2 2026$16.18+19%
Q1 2026$16.39+33%
Q4 2025$15.61+43%
Q3 2025$15.12+54%
Q2 2025$13.59+47%
Q1 2025$12.29+57%
Q4 2024$10.94+73%

RCL has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over RCL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RCL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $4.1BQ3 2024: $4.9BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $4.5BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $4.3BQ1 2026: $4.5BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.6B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $4.1BQ3 2024: $4.9BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $4.5BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $4.3BQ1 2026: $4.5BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.6B+8.8%
Q2 2026$4.8B+6.5%
Q1 2026$4.5B+11%
Q4 2025$4.3B+13%
Q3 2025$5.1B+5.2%
Q2 2025$4.5B+10%
Q1 2025$4B+7.3%
Q4 2024$3.8B+13%

RCL's revenue has grown year over year for 21 quarters in a row: $5.6B last quarter, up 8.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.

RCL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.5BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: −$567MQ3 2024: $563MQ4 2024: $915MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $910MQ3 2025: −$989MQ4 2025: $116MQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: −$877MQ3 2026: $937M
Q4 2023: −$1.5BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: −$567MQ3 2024: $563MQ4 2024: $915MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $910MQ3 2025: −$989MQ4 2025: $116MQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: −$877MQ3 2026: $937M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$937M+$1.9B
Q2 2026-$877M-196%
Q1 2026$1.3B+11%
Q4 2025$116M-87%
Q3 2025-$989M-276%
Q2 2025$910M+$1.5B
Q1 2025$1.2B+10%
Q4 2024$915M+$2.4B

RCL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $1.5B over the past year.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over RCL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RCL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 283MQ1 2024: 281MQ2 2024: 281MQ3 2024: 264MQ4 2024: 279MQ1 2025: 276MQ2 2025: 275MQ3 2025: 274MQ4 2025: 274MQ1 2026: 271MQ2 2026: 268MQ3 2026: 268M
Q4 2023: 283MQ1 2024: 281MQ2 2024: 281MQ3 2024: 264MQ4 2024: 279MQ1 2025: 276MQ2 2025: 275MQ3 2025: 274MQ4 2025: 274MQ1 2026: 271MQ2 2026: 268MQ3 2026: 268M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-2.2%-6M shares
3 years-4.9%-13.9M shares
5 years+5.2%+13.3M shares
Available history+28%+58.1M shares

RCL has 268M diluted shares, down 2.2% from a year ago, with $1.5B in buybacks over the past year.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY has the edge over RCL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

RCL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20263.2xElevated
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.2xElevated
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20243.5xElevated

RCL's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.2 years a year ago.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

RCL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.2Neutral
Stochastic83.5Overbought

RCL's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RCL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRCLSector medianRelative
PE19x18x5.8% above
PE %46471 pt below

RCL has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% above its 200-week average.

RCL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$289.211% above
20 week MA$288.112% above
50 week MA$287.512% above
100 week MA$279.315% above
200 week MA$201.860% above

RCL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 60% above its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over RCL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RCL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$133.3$70.7-47%
2021$70.7$79.5+13%
2022$79.5$49.8-37%
2023$49.8$129.5+160%
2024$129.5$232.7+80%
2025$232.7$285.7+23%
2026 YTD$285.7$322.0+13%

RCL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +160% in 2023 to −47% in 2020. It's up 13% so far in 2026.

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