EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has the edge over PII overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
PII
Polaris Inc.
PII offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
PII Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
PII's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
PII PE Valuation
PII has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
PII Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
PII has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY has the edge over PII on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
PII Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.84 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$3.69 | -$1.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$4.63 | -$2.74 |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.84 | -1204% |
| Q4 2025 | -$8.18 | -519% |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.66 | -174% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -133% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.71 | -90% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.95 | -78% |
PII lost $3.69 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over PII on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over PII on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PII Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2B | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | +9.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | +8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | +9.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8B | +6.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | -5.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.8B | -23% |
PII's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $2B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.6% | +2.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.4% | +8.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2.4% | 0 points |
| Q4 2025 | -17% | -20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.1% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7% | -6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | -4.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.8% | -2.5 points |
PII's operating margin was 3.6% last quarter, up 2.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY has the edge over PII on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PII Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $315.3M | +170% |
| Q2 2026 | $186.1M | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | -$349.9M | -835% |
| Q4 2025 | $114M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $116.7M | +$149.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $279.8M | +254% |
| Q1 2025 | $47.6M | +$225.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $137.3M | -69% |
PII still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $266M over the past year.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over PII on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
PII Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +200K shares |
| 1 year | +2.8% | +1.6M shares |
| 3 years | +1.2% | +700K shares |
| 5 years | -6.1% | -3.8M shares |
| Available history | -6.1% | -3.8M shares |
PII has 59M diluted shares, up 2.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $100,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $9.2M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $400,000 |
PII spent $9M buying back its own shares over the past year, about three times what it spent the year before.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY has the edge over PII on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PII Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 10.5x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 21.0x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.2x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q2 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
PII's net debt is about 10 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
PII Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 51.1 | Neutral |
PII's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
PII PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PII | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
PII has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY has the edge over PII on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PII Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $56.6 | 14% above |
| 20 week MA | $62.0 | 4.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $63.5 | 2% above |
| 100 week MA | $56.8 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $76.1 | 15% below |
PII has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 15% below its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over PII on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PII Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.4 | $98.7 | -2.6% |
| 2021 | $98.7 | $106.3 | +7.6% |
| 2022 | $106.3 | $100.8 | -5.2% |
| 2023 | $100.8 | $94.8 | -6% |
| 2024 | $94.8 | $57.4 | -39% |
| 2025 | $57.4 | $66.3 | +15% |
| 2026 YTD | $66.3 | $64.7 | -2.4% |
PII has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 2.4% so far in 2026.