EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over PHM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

PHM

PulteGroup, Inc.

39
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation18/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

PHM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

PHM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Stable
Strong

PHM's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable, but its revenue is under pressure.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

PHM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.4x11x15x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.4x11x15x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.8x$54.71-57%
Fair8.8x$82.04-35%
Expensive11x$99.83-21%
Current14x$127—
Forward14x$127—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PHM has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

EBAY has the edge over PHM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

PHM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PHM's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PHM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PHM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$145.68
Downside-32%$86.44

Calculated from the latest close: $126.90 on Nov 12.

PHM trails EBAY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over PHM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PHM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.72Q1 2024: $12.47Q2 2024: $13.09Q3 2024: $13.54Q4 2024: $14.69Q1 2025: $14.16Q2 2025: $13.36Q3 2025: $12.97Q4 2025: $11.12Q1 2026: $10.34Q2 2026: $9.79Q3 2026: $9.36Forward: $9.29
Q4 2023: $11.72Q1 2024: $12.47Q2 2024: $13.09Q3 2024: $13.54Q4 2024: $14.69Q1 2025: $14.16Q2 2025: $13.36Q3 2025: $12.97Q4 2025: $11.12Q1 2026: $10.34Q2 2026: $9.79Q3 2026: $9.36Forward: $9.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.29-0.7%
Q3 2026$9.36-28%
Q2 2026$9.79-27%
Q1 2026$10.34-27%
Q4 2025$11.12-24%
Q3 2025$12.97-4.2%
Q2 2025$13.36+2.1%
Q1 2025$14.16+14%
Q4 2024$14.69+25%

PHM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $9.36 over the past year, against $14.69 in late 2024.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over PHM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PHM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4.6BQ3 2024: $4.5BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $4.4BQ4 2025: $4.6BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4.6BQ3 2024: $4.5BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $4.4BQ4 2025: $4.6BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4B-9.8%
Q2 2026$4B-9.6%
Q1 2026$3.4B-12%
Q4 2025$4.6B-6.3%
Q3 2025$4.4B-1.6%
Q2 2025$4.4B-4.3%
Q1 2025$3.9B-1.4%
Q4 2024$4.9B+15%

PHM's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $4B last quarter, down 9.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over PHM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PHM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $386MQ3 2024: $417MQ4 2024: $543MQ1 2025: $105MQ2 2025: $253MQ3 2025: $651MQ4 2025: $740MQ1 2026: $134MQ2 2026: −$13MQ3 2026: $437M
Q4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $386MQ3 2024: $417MQ4 2024: $543MQ1 2025: $105MQ2 2025: $253MQ3 2025: $651MQ4 2025: $740MQ1 2026: $134MQ2 2026: −$13MQ3 2026: $437M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$437.2M-33%
Q2 2026-$12.9M-105%
Q1 2026$134.4M+28%
Q4 2025$739.8M+36%
Q3 2025$651.1M+56%
Q2 2025$253M-35%
Q1 2025$104.6M-51%
Q4 2024$543.1M+106%

PHM still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $1.3B over the past year.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

PHM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 221MQ1 2024: 214MQ2 2024: 211MQ3 2024: 208MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 204MQ2 2025: 201MQ3 2025: 198MQ4 2025: 200MQ1 2026: 193MQ2 2026: 191MQ3 2026: 188M
Q4 2023: 221MQ1 2024: 214MQ2 2024: 211MQ3 2024: 208MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 204MQ2 2025: 201MQ3 2025: 198MQ4 2025: 200MQ1 2026: 193MQ2 2026: 191MQ3 2026: 188M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-2.7M shares
1 year-5.2%-10.3M shares
3 years-14%-31.8M shares
5 years-27%-71.1M shares
Available history-31%-83.6M shares

PHM has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

PHM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

PHM has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

PHM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.2Neutral
Stochastic66.1Neutral

PHM's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

PHM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPHMSector medianRelative
PE14x18x25% below
PE %994752 pts above

PHM has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% above its 200-week average.

PHM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$120.85% above
20 week MA$124.32.1% above
50 week MA$124.42% above
100 week MA$118.86.8% above
200 week MA$107.718% above

PHM is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 18% above its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over PHM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PHM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.8$45.2+17%
2021$45.2$54.7+21%
2022$54.7$45.8-16%
2023$45.8$103.2+125%
2024$103.2$109.5+6.1%
2025$109.5$119.2+8.8%
2026 YTD$119.2$126.9+6.5%

PHM has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 6.5% so far in 2026.

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