EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OPLN

OPENLANE, Inc.

64
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

OPLN has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

OPLN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong
Healthy

OPLN's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

OPLN PE Valuation

OPLN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

OPLN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OPLN, with profitability holding steady.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails OPLN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OPLN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$45.32
Downside-22%$27.03

Calculated from the latest close: $34.74 on Nov 12.

OPLN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over OPLN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OPLN Earnings Per Share

Q2 2025: $0.74Q3 2025: $0.87Q4 2025: $-1.19Q1 2026: $-1.02Q2 2026: $-0.85Q3 2026: $-0.74Forward: $1.66
Q2 2025: $0.74Q3 2025: $0.87Q4 2025: $-1.19Q1 2026: $-1.02Q2 2026: $-0.85Q3 2026: $-0.74Forward: $1.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.66—
Q3 2026-$0.74-185%
Q2 2026-$0.85-215%
Q4 2021$0.12+$0.35
Q3 2021-$0.05-136%
Q2 2021$0.28+56%
Q1 2021$0.00-100%
Q4 2020-$0.23-122%

OPLN has swung to a loss: it lost $0.74 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3.2B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

OPLN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $391MQ1 2024: $416MQ2 2024: $432MQ3 2024: $448MQ4 2024: $455MQ1 2025: $460MQ2 2025: $482MQ3 2025: $498MQ4 2025: $494MQ1 2026: $528MQ2 2026: $555MQ3 2026: $561M
Q4 2023: $391MQ1 2024: $416MQ2 2024: $432MQ3 2024: $448MQ4 2024: $455MQ1 2025: $460MQ2 2025: $482MQ3 2025: $498MQ4 2025: $494MQ1 2026: $528MQ2 2026: $555MQ3 2026: $561M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$561.2M+13%
Q2 2026$554.6M+15%
Q1 2026$527.9M+15%
Q4 2025$494.3M+8.6%
Q3 2025$498.4M+11%
Q2 2025$481.7M+12%
Q1 2025$460.1M+11%
Q4 2024$455M+16%

OPLN has the edge over EBAY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.

OPLN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $87MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $109MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $147MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $83M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $87MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $109MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $147MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $83M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$83.3M+45%
Q2 2026$39M-32%
Q1 2026$146.5M+32%
Q4 2025$110.8M+493%
Q3 2025$57.6M-47%
Q2 2025$57.4M+134%
Q1 2025$110.7M+27%
Q4 2024$18.7M+117%

OPLN has the edge over EBAY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over OPLN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OPLN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 109MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 109MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 108MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 108MQ2 2026: 117MQ3 2026: 125M
Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 109MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 109MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 108MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 108MQ2 2026: 117MQ3 2026: 125M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7%+8.2M shares
1 year+16%+17.1M shares
3 years+7.8%+9.1M shares
5 years-3%-3.9M shares
Available history-5.6%-7.5M shares

OPLN has 125M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago, despite $101M in buybacks over the past year.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

OPLN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low

OPLN has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

OPLN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.6Neutral
Stochastic32.5Neutral

OPLN's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

OPLN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricOPLNSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

OPLN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over OPLN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OPLN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.24.1% below
20 week MA$36.75.4% below
50 week MA$33.63.3% above
100 week MA$28.522% above
200 week MA$22.257% above

OPLN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 57% above its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over OPLN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OPLN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.6$18.2-16%
2021$18.2$15.5-15%
2022$15.5$12.8-18%
2023$12.8$14.8+16%
2024$14.8$20.1+36%
2025$20.1$31.0+54%
2026 YTD$31.0$34.7+12%

OPLN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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