EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over MSC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

MSC

Studio City International Holdings Limited

49
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

MSC offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

MSC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

MSC's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

MSC PE Valuation

MSC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

MSC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSC to show an outlook.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails MSC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$1.88
Downside-47%$0.53

Calculated from the latest close: $1.00 on Nov 12.

MSC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over MSC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MSC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-3.58Q4 2023: $-1.92Q1 2024: $-2.00Q2 2024: $-1.68Q3 2024: $-1.52Q4 2024: $-1.98Q1 2025: $-2.01Q2 2025: $-1.41Q3 2025: $-1.36Q4 2025: $-1.24Q1 2026: $-0.85Q2 2026: $-1.09
Q3 2023: $-3.58Q4 2023: $-1.92Q1 2024: $-2.00Q2 2024: $-1.68Q3 2024: $-1.52Q4 2024: $-1.98Q1 2025: $-2.01Q2 2025: $-1.41Q3 2025: $-1.36Q4 2025: $-1.24Q1 2026: $-0.85Q2 2026: $-1.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$1.09+$0.32
Q1 2026-$0.85+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.24+$0.74
Q3 2025-$1.36+$0.16
Q2 2025-$1.41+$0.27
Q1 2025-$2.01-$0.01
Q4 2024-$1.98-$0.06
Q3 2024-$1.52+$2.06

MSC is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.09 per share over the past year, against $12.48 at its worst in late 2021.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over MSC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $138MQ4 2023: $141MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $153MQ1 2025: $162MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $177MQ2 2026: $165M
Q3 2023: $138MQ4 2023: $141MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $153MQ1 2025: $162MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $177MQ2 2026: $165M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$164.6M-13%
Q1 2026$176.7M+9.3%
Q4 2025$160.3M+4.9%
Q3 2025$182.5M+4.5%
Q2 2025$190.1M+18%
Q1 2025$161.7M+7.7%
Q4 2024$152.9M+8.2%
Q3 2024$174.6M+27%

MSC's revenue has held roughly level: $165M last quarter, down 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over MSC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0-100%
Q3 2024$0$0

MSC's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over MSC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 48MQ4 2023: 193MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 48M
Q3 2023: 48MQ4 2023: 193MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%+43 shares
3 years0%--
5 years+108%+25M shares
Available history-20%-12.3M shares

MSC has 48M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY has the edge over MSC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSC Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 44.7xQ4 2023: 13.9xQ1 2024: 10.1xQ2 2024: 8.7xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 8.5xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 7.3xQ3 2025: 7.1xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.5xQ2 2026: 6.6x
Q3 2023: 44.7xQ4 2023: 13.9xQ1 2024: 10.1xQ2 2024: 8.7xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 8.5xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 7.3xQ3 2025: 7.1xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.5xQ2 2026: 6.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20266.6xHigh
Q1 20266.5xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q3 20257.1xHigh
Q2 20257.3xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20248.5xHigh
Q3 20248.3xHigh

MSC's net debt is about 6.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.3 years a year ago.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

MSC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.9Neutral
Stochastic11.0Oversold

MSC's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

MSC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MSC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over MSC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.937.5% above
20 week MA$1.4129% below
50 week MA$2.2455% below
100 week MA$3.1268% below
200 week MA$4.8980% below

MSC has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 80% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over MSC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.5$13.9-32%
2021$13.9$5.58-60%
2022$5.58$5.30-5%
2023$5.30$6.48+22%
2024$6.48$6.480%
2025$6.48$2.94-55%
2026 YTD$2.94$1.00-66%

MSC has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 66% so far in 2026.

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