EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has a slight edge over MOD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

MOD

Modine Manufacturing Company

54
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

MOD offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

MOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

MOD's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

MOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x79x118x158x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x79x118x158x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.3x$22.39-79%
Forward14x$106—
Fair23x$55.73-47%
Expensive44x$107+0.9%
Current44x$106—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MOD has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

MOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

MOD has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails MOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+75%$185.63
Downside-24%$80.36

Calculated from the latest close: $106.10 on Nov 12.

MOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over MOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.26Q1 2024: $3.03Q2 2024: $3.06Q3 2024: $3.05Q4 2024: $2.98Q1 2025: $3.42Q2 2025: $3.49Q3 2025: $3.46Q4 2025: $1.80Q1 2026: $2.26Q2 2026: $2.68Q3 2026: $2.41Forward: $7.72
Q4 2023: $4.26Q1 2024: $3.03Q2 2024: $3.06Q3 2024: $3.05Q4 2024: $2.98Q1 2025: $3.42Q2 2025: $3.49Q3 2025: $3.46Q4 2025: $1.80Q1 2026: $2.26Q2 2026: $2.68Q3 2026: $2.41Forward: $7.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.72+220%
Q3 2026$2.41-30%
Q2 2026$2.68-23%
Q1 2026$2.26-34%
Q4 2025$1.80-40%
Q3 2025$3.46+13%
Q2 2025$3.49+14%
Q1 2025$3.42+13%
Q4 2024$2.98-30%

MOD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.41 over the past year, against $4.26 in late 2023.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3.2B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

MOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $561MQ1 2024: $604MQ2 2024: $662MQ3 2024: $658MQ4 2024: $617MQ1 2025: $647MQ2 2025: $683MQ3 2025: $739MQ4 2025: $805MQ1 2026: $954MQ2 2026: $874MQ3 2026: $994M
Q4 2023: $561MQ1 2024: $604MQ2 2024: $662MQ3 2024: $658MQ4 2024: $617MQ1 2025: $647MQ2 2025: $683MQ3 2025: $739MQ4 2025: $805MQ1 2026: $954MQ2 2026: $874MQ3 2026: $994M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$994.4M+35%
Q2 2026$874.1M+28%
Q1 2026$954.4M+47%
Q4 2025$805M+31%
Q3 2025$738.9M+12%
Q2 2025$682.8M+3.2%
Q1 2025$647.2M+7.2%
Q4 2024$616.8M+9.9%

MOD has the edge over EBAY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over MOD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $45MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $200,000Q3 2025: −$31MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: −$141M
Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $45MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $200,000Q3 2025: −$31MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: −$141M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$140.6M-$110.1M
Q2 2026-$5M-2600%
Q1 2026$152.8M+464%
Q4 2025-$17.1M-138%
Q3 2025-$30.5M-170%
Q2 2025$200K-99%
Q1 2025$27.1M+$31.4M
Q4 2024$44.7M-4.1%

MOD's free cash flow was −$10M over the past year, against $42M the year before.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over MOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 54MQ3 2026: 54M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 54MQ3 2026: 54M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-100K shares
1 year+0.2%+100K shares
3 years+0.9%+500K shares
5 years+2.5%+1.3M shares
Available history+5.5%+2.8M shares

MOD has 54M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

MOD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.0xHealthy
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20240.9xVery low

MOD has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

MOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.1Oversold
Stochastic7.8Oversold

MOD's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY has the edge over MOD on valuation relative to its sector.

MOD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMODSector medianRelative
PE44x18x144% above
PE %824735 pts above

MOD is trading at 44x earnings, a 144% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over MOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$144.627% below
20 week MA$180.741% below
50 week MA$200.147% below
100 week MA$157.233% below
200 week MA$113.36.4% below

MOD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6.4% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over MOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.57$12.2+61%
2021$12.2$9.96-18%
2022$9.96$19.6+97%
2023$19.6$59.7+204%
2024$59.7$118.7+99%
2025$118.7$137.7+16%
2026 YTD$137.7$106.1-23%

MOD has finished higher in five of the last six years, four of them by more than 50%. It's down 23% so far in 2026.

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