EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has a slight edge over MAR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
MAR
Marriott International, Inc.
MAR has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
MAR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
MAR's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
MAR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 23x | $235 | -45% |
| Fair | 31x | $306 | -28% |
| Forward | 33x | $425 | — |
| Current | 42x | $425 | — |
| Expensive | 53x | $529 | +24% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MAR has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
MAR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
MAR has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY has the edge over MAR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MAR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $12.98 | +29% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.04 | +5.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.67 | +8.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.55 | +8.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.51 | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.48 | -0.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.88 | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.79 | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.33 | -18% |
MAR earned $10.04 per share over the past year, up 5.9% from the year before.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over MAR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over MAR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MAR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7B | +8% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1B | +4.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.7B | +6.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.7B | +4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.5B | +3.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.7B | +4.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.3B | +4.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.4B | +5.5% |
MAR's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $7B last quarter, up 8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 18% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 18% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 15% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | -0.1 points |
MAR's operating margin was 18% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.
MAR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $796M | +63% |
| Q1 2026 | $728M | +42% |
| Q4 2025 | $657M | +$681M |
| Q3 2025 | $951M | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $488M | -25% |
| Q1 2025 | $512M | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | -$24M | -104% |
MAR generated $3.5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 81% from the year before.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
MAR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.3M shares |
| 1 year | -4.1% | -11.3M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -38.9M shares |
| 5 years | -21% | -68.1M shares |
| Available history | -22% | -74.3M shares |
MAR has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $700M |
| Q4 2025 | $1B |
| Q3 2025 | $800M |
| Q2 2025 | $749M |
| Q1 2025 | $751M |
| Q4 2024 | $586M |
MAR spent $4.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 41% from the year before.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.
MAR Net Leverage
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
MAR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 72.9 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 89.3 | Overbought |
MAR's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY has the edge over MAR on valuation relative to its sector.
MAR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MAR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 42x | 18x | 135% above |
| PE % | 81 | 47 | 34 pts above |
MAR is trading at 42x earnings, a 135% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% above its 200-week average.
MAR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $387.0 | 9.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $369.3 | 15% above |
| 50 week MA | $353.3 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $310.1 | 37% above |
| 200 week MA | $263.5 | 61% above |
MAR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 61% above its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over MAR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MAR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $152.7 | $128.8 | -16% |
| 2021 | $128.8 | $165.2 | +28% |
| 2022 | $165.2 | $148.6 | -10% |
| 2023 | $148.6 | $225.5 | +52% |
| 2024 | $225.5 | $283.7 | +26% |
| 2025 | $283.7 | $315.6 | +11% |
| 2026 YTD | $315.6 | $424.7 | +35% |
MAR has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 35% so far in 2026.