EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has the edge over LUCK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
LUCK
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation
LUCK offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
LUCK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
LUCK's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
LUCK PE Valuation
LUCK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
LUCK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for LUCK to show an outlook.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY has the edge over LUCK on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LUCK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | -$0.04 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.33 | -$0.20 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.62 | -$0.59 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.65 | -2267% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.38 | +$0.19 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.13 | +$0.48 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.03 | -106% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.03 | -83% |
LUCK lost $0.42 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over LUCK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over LUCK on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LUCK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $302.6M | +3.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $303.9M | +0.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $342.2M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $306.9M | +2.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $292.3M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $301.2M | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $339.9M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $300.1M | -1.8% |
LUCK's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $303M last quarter, up 3.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.3% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2% | -1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | -4.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.7% | +4.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | -0.6 points |
LUCK's operating margin was 9.3% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY has the edge over LUCK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LUCK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$4.4M | +$27.9M |
| Q2 2026 | -$35.5M | -$34.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $42.9M | -30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.2M | +$26.9M |
| Q3 2025 | -$32.3M | -$20.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.1M | +$39.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $61.1M | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | -$11.7M | -$3.9M |
LUCK has burned cash in most quarters: $18M over the past year, up 13% from the year before.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over LUCK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
LUCK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.4% | -1.9M shares |
| 1 year | -2.7% | -3.8M shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -34.2M shares |
| 5 years | +1336% | +125M shares |
LUCK has 135M diluted shares, down 2.7% from a year ago, with $30M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $129,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $3.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $7.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $7M |
| Q1 2025 | $19.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $37.8M |
LUCK spent $30M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 57% from the year before.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY has the edge over LUCK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LUCK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.6x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 6.6x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.8x | High |
LUCK's net debt is about 6.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.4 years a year ago.
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
LUCK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 21.1 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 6.5 | Oversold |
LUCK's weekly RSI is 21 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LUCK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LUCK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
LUCK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY has the edge over LUCK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LUCK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.43 | 30% below |
| 20 week MA | $5.79 | 46% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.29 | 57% below |
| 100 week MA | $8.47 | 63% below |
| 200 week MA | $10.4 | 70% below |
LUCK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 70% below its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over LUCK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LUCK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $9.70 | $9.15 | -5.7% |
| 2022 | $9.15 | $13.3 | +45% |
| 2023 | $13.3 | $14.2 | +6.5% |
| 2024 | $14.2 | $10.8 | -24% |
| 2025 | $10.8 | $8.89 | -18% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.89 | $3.12 | -65% |
LUCK has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 65% so far in 2026.